Trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 40.4% over Felix Patzi at 36.4% in Bolivia's La Paz governor race, reflecting fragmented Aymara voter support and urban-rural divides amid MAS party splits. Recent polls from Ciesmori and other firms show Revilla's consistent 2-5% lead from La Paz city's backing, while Patzi consolidates rural indigenous votes; no major shifts from campaign rallies or minor candidate withdrawals. The race stays tight due to multi-candidate field diluting votes, with spoilers like Santos Quispe at 3.1%. Final debates, turnout in highlands, or MAS endorsements ahead of election day could create separation, per historical subnational patterns where late catalysts sway 35-45% races.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWahlsieger Gouverneur von La Paz (Bolivien)
Wahlsieger Gouverneur von La Paz (Bolivien)
Luis Antonio Revilla 39.1%
Felix Patzi 19.3%
René Yahuasi Calamani 9.9%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.6%
$21,184 Vol.
$21,184 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
39%
Felix Patzi
37%
René Yahuasi Calamani
11%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Santos Quispe Quispe
3%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Gualberto Cusi
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Luis Antonio Revilla 39.1%
Felix Patzi 19.3%
René Yahuasi Calamani 9.9%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.6%
$21,184 Vol.
$21,184 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
39%
Felix Patzi
37%
René Yahuasi Calamani
11%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Santos Quispe Quispe
3%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Gualberto Cusi
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 40.4% over Felix Patzi at 36.4% in Bolivia's La Paz governor race, reflecting fragmented Aymara voter support and urban-rural divides amid MAS party splits. Recent polls from Ciesmori and other firms show Revilla's consistent 2-5% lead from La Paz city's backing, while Patzi consolidates rural indigenous votes; no major shifts from campaign rallies or minor candidate withdrawals. The race stays tight due to multi-candidate field diluting votes, with spoilers like Santos Quispe at 3.1%. Final debates, turnout in highlands, or MAS endorsements ahead of election day could create separation, per historical subnational patterns where late catalysts sway 35-45% races.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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