Japanische Parlamentswahlen 2. Platz?
ZRA 100.0%
DPFP <1%
Reiwa <1%
KPJ <1%
$165,161 Vol.
$165,161 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026

ZRA
$40,260 Vol.
Ja

DPFP
$24,724 Vol.
Nein

Reiwa
$7,313 Vol.
Nein

KPJ
$10,874 Vol.
Nein

SDP
$5,582 Vol.
Nein

Mirai
$3,907 Vol.
Nein

LDP
$20,115 Vol.
Nein

JIP
$22,033 Vol.
Nein

Sanseitō
$23,225 Vol.
Nein

KPJ
$7,128 Vol.
Nein
General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) election.
If the results are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won in the House of Representatives of the Japanese National Diet. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market (including through merger), the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition (including through merger), with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.General elections are scheduled to be held in Japan on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) election.
If the results are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won in the House of Representatives of the Japanese National Diet. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market (including through merger), the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition (including through merger), with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Japanese House of Representatives (衆議院, Shūgiin) election.
If the results are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won in the House of Representatives of the Japanese National Diet. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Japanese government, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (https://www.soumu.go.jp/) or e-Stat (Japan’s government statistics portal; https://www.e-stat.go.jp/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market (including through merger), the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition (including through merger), with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Erstellt am: Jan 20, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
Volumen
$165,161Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Japanische Parlamentswahlen 2. Platz?
ZRA 100.0%
DPFP <1%
Reiwa <1%
KPJ <1%
$165,161 Vol.
$165,161 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026

ZRA
$40,260 Vol.
Ja

DPFP
$24,724 Vol.
Nein

Reiwa
$7,313 Vol.
Nein

KPJ
$10,874 Vol.
Nein

SDP
$5,582 Vol.
Nein

Mirai
$3,907 Vol.
Nein

LDP
$20,115 Vol.
Nein

JIP
$22,033 Vol.
Nein

Sanseitō
$23,225 Vol.
Nein

KPJ
$7,128 Vol.
Nein
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Japanische Parlamentswahlen 2. Platz?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ZRA" at 100%, followed by "DPFP" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Japanische Parlamentswahlen 2. Platz?" has generated $165.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Japanische Parlamentswahlen 2. Platz?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Japanische Parlamentswahlen 2. Platz?" is "ZRA" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "DPFP" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Japanische Parlamentswahlen 2. Platz?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions