Trader consensus on Polymarket prices exactly one dissent at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting at virtually 100%, reflecting divisions exposed in the June dot plot where only nine policymakers projected a 2024 rate cut versus four seeing none. This positioning stems from hawkish voices like Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook signaling resistance to premature easing amid sticky inflation above 2%, echoing rare single dissents during past policy pivots like 2019. Supporting factors include unanimous June votes but heated minutes debate on cut timing, with CME FedWatch implying a hold. Challenges could arise from cooler July CPI (due July 11) fostering unity or unexpectedly hot data sparking multiple hawkish no's.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
0
Nein
1
Ja
2
Nein
3
Nein
4+
Nein
1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
0
$0 Vol.
Nein
1
$0 Vol.
Ja
2
$0 Vol.
Nein
3
$0 Vol.
Nein
4+
$0 Vol.
Nein
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices exactly one dissent at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting at virtually 100%, reflecting divisions exposed in the June dot plot where only nine policymakers projected a 2024 rate cut versus four seeing none. This positioning stems from hawkish voices like Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook signaling resistance to premature easing amid sticky inflation above 2%, echoing rare single dissents during past policy pivots like 2019. Supporting factors include unanimous June votes but heated minutes debate on cut timing, with CME FedWatch implying a hold. Challenges could arise from cooler July CPI (due July 11) fostering unity or unexpectedly hot data sparking multiple hawkish no's.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Mar 18, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices exactly one dissent at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting at virtually 100%, reflecting divisions exposed in the June dot plot where only nine policymakers projected a 2024 rate cut versus four seeing none. This positioning stems from hawkish voices like Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook signaling resistance to premature easing amid sticky inflation above 2%, echoing rare single dissents during past policy pivots like 2019. Supporting factors include unanimous June votes but heated minutes debate on cut timing, with CME FedWatch implying a hold. Challenges could arise from cooler July CPI (due July 11) fostering unity or unexpectedly hot data sparking multiple hawkish no's.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Mar 18, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices exactly one dissent at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting at virtually 100%, reflecting divisions exposed in the June dot plot where only nine policymakers projected a 2024 rate cut versus four seeing none. This positioning stems from hawkish voices like Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook signaling resistance to premature easing amid sticky inflation above 2%, echoing rare single dissents during past policy pivots like 2019. Supporting factors include unanimous June votes but heated minutes debate on cut timing, with CME FedWatch implying a hold. Challenges could arise from cooler July CPI (due July 11) fostering unity or unexpectedly hot data sparking multiple hawkish no's.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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