Trader consensus on Polymarket shows razor-thin margins between 24°C (42%) and 23°C (40.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature today, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear to partly cloudy skies and rising temperatures, as per the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—such as ECMWF versus GFS—on peak solar insolation timing, southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, and sea breeze onset that could suppress highs by 0.5–1°C through coastal cooling. March climatology averages 20–21°C, but today's setup favors above-normal warmth; real-time IMS observations from stations like Tel Aviv Port will resolve ambiguities as afternoon heating peaks around 2–4 p.m. local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 28. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 28. März?
24°C 44%
23°C 31%
25°C 18%
26°C 1.5%
$34,228 Vol.
$34,228 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
31%
24°C
44%
25°C
18%
26°C
2%
27°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 31%
25°C 18%
26°C 1.5%
$34,228 Vol.
$34,228 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
31%
24°C
44%
25°C
18%
26°C
2%
27°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows razor-thin margins between 24°C (42%) and 23°C (40.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature today, reflecting inherent uncertainty in short-range weather models amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear to partly cloudy skies and rising temperatures, as per the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—such as ECMWF versus GFS—on peak solar insolation timing, southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, and sea breeze onset that could suppress highs by 0.5–1°C through coastal cooling. March climatology averages 20–21°C, but today's setup favors above-normal warmth; real-time IMS observations from stations like Tel Aviv Port will resolve ambiguities as afternoon heating peaks around 2–4 p.m. local time.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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