Trader consensus on Munich's March 19 high temperature clusters around 12°C (44%) and 13°C (33.5%), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD models, which converge on peaks of 11-14°C amid a mild high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Historical March averages hover at 10-12°C, with current upper-air patterns—featuring a northward-shifted jet stream—favoring above-normal mildness without extremes. Recent DWD updates and satellite data confirm stable conditions, diminishing odds for deviations like 10°C or below (under 3%) or 15°C+ (under 1%), as soil temperatures and diurnal cycles align with these projections, reflecting low model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on March 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 19?
12°C 44%
13°C 36%
11°C 13%
14°C 3.1%
$24,700 Vol.
$24,700 Vol.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
44%
13°C
36%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 44%
13°C 36%
11°C 13%
14°C 3.1%
$24,700 Vol.
$24,700 Vol.
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
44%
13°C
36%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's March 19 high temperature clusters around 12°C (44%) and 13°C (33.5%), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD models, which converge on peaks of 11-14°C amid a mild high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. Historical March averages hover at 10-12°C, with current upper-air patterns—featuring a northward-shifted jet stream—favoring above-normal mildness without extremes. Recent DWD updates and satellite data confirm stable conditions, diminishing odds for deviations like 10°C or below (under 3%) or 15°C+ (under 1%), as soil temperatures and diurnal cycles align with these projections, reflecting low model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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