The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecast from March 27 pins Lucknow's maximum temperature at 33°C on March 28, driving trader consensus with 43% implied probability on that outcome amid mainly clear skies expected after morning clouds dissipate. Yesterday's high of just 30.6°C—4.6°C below normal—reflected trace rainfall and higher humidity, but dropping minimums around 19°C and relative humidity falling to 40% by afternoon favor stronger diurnal heating under low wind conditions. Late March climatology supports highs near 33°C as solar insolation intensifies pre-summer, though model uncertainties in cloud cover introduce a 27.5% chance for 32°C or below and 26% for 34°C. Hourly airport observations today could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 44%
32°C or below 28%
34°C 27%
35°C 3.0%
$21,483 Vol.
$21,483 Vol.
32°C or below
28%
33°C
44%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
32°C or below 28%
34°C 27%
35°C 3.0%
$21,483 Vol.
$21,483 Vol.
32°C or below
28%
33°C
44%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecast from March 27 pins Lucknow's maximum temperature at 33°C on March 28, driving trader consensus with 43% implied probability on that outcome amid mainly clear skies expected after morning clouds dissipate. Yesterday's high of just 30.6°C—4.6°C below normal—reflected trace rainfall and higher humidity, but dropping minimums around 19°C and relative humidity falling to 40% by afternoon favor stronger diurnal heating under low wind conditions. Late March climatology supports highs near 33°C as solar insolation intensifies pre-summer, though model uncertainties in cloud cover introduce a 27.5% chance for 32°C or below and 26% for 34°C. Hourly airport observations today could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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