Trader consensus shows a tight, fragmented contest for Guinea-Bissau's National People's Assembly snap election on June 9, with PT holding a slim lead amid proportional representation that favors multi-party outcomes and likely post-election coalition talks. President Umaro Sissoco Embaló's February 21 dissolution of parliament—triggered by a failed no-confidence motion from opposition parties—reset the landscape without producing a dominant frontrunner, as recent campaign rallies and limited polling reflect evenly split support among PT, Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”, and MUNDO-GB. Absent major shifts like high-profile endorsements, urban turnout surges, or scandals in the final weeks, the race stays competitive; historical patterns in Guinea-Bissau elections underscore chronic instability and hung parliaments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau
Wahlsieger der Nationalen Volksversammlung von Guinea-Bissau
PT 40.9%
Platforma Reupblicana „Nô Kumpu Guiné“ 24.7%
MUNDO-GB 16.7%
FLING 6.2%
$112,899 Vol.
$112,899 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
PT
28%
Platforma Reupblicana „Nô Kumpu Guiné“
19%
MUNDO-GB
17%
FLING
6%
FREPASNA
6%
PS
1%
PT 40.9%
Platforma Reupblicana „Nô Kumpu Guiné“ 24.7%
MUNDO-GB 16.7%
FLING 6.2%
$112,899 Vol.
$112,899 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
PT
$15,763 Vol.
28%
Platforma Reupblicana „Nô Kumpu Guiné“
$27,521 Vol.
19%
MUNDO-GB
$16,131 Vol.
17%
FLING
$10,520 Vol.
6%
FREPASNA
$22,505 Vol.
6%
PS
$20,458 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Trader consensus shows a tight, fragmented contest for Guinea-Bissau's National People's Assembly snap election on June 9, with PT holding a slim lead amid proportional representation that favors multi-party outcomes and likely post-election coalition talks. President Umaro Sissoco Embaló's February 21 dissolution of parliament—triggered by a failed no-confidence motion from opposition parties—reset the landscape without producing a dominant frontrunner, as recent campaign rallies and limited polling reflect evenly split support among PT, Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”, and MUNDO-GB. Absent major shifts like high-profile endorsements, urban turnout surges, or scandals in the final weeks, the race stays competitive; historical patterns in Guinea-Bissau elections underscore chronic instability and hung parliaments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volumen
$112,899Enddatum
Nov 23, 2025Markt eröffnet
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Trader consensus shows a tight, fragmented contest for Guinea-Bissau's National People's Assembly snap election on June 9, with PT holding a slim lead amid proportional representation that favors multi-party outcomes and likely post-election coalition talks. President Umaro Sissoco Embaló's February 21 dissolution of parliament—triggered by a failed no-confidence motion from opposition parties—reset the landscape without producing a dominant frontrunner, as recent campaign rallies and limited polling reflect evenly split support among PT, Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”, and MUNDO-GB. Absent major shifts like high-profile endorsements, urban turnout surges, or scandals in the final weeks, the race stays competitive; historical patterns in Guinea-Bissau elections underscore chronic instability and hung parliaments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volumen
$112,899Enddatum
Nov 23, 2025Markt eröffnet
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus shows a tight, fragmented contest for Guinea-Bissau's National People's Assembly snap election on June 9, with PT holding a slim lead amid proportional representation that favors multi-party outcomes and likely post-election coalition talks. President Umaro Sissoco Embaló's February 21 dissolution of parliament—triggered by a failed no-confidence motion from opposition parties—reset the landscape without producing a dominant frontrunner, as recent campaign rallies and limited polling reflect evenly split support among PT, Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”, and MUNDO-GB. Absent major shifts like high-profile endorsements, urban turnout surges, or scandals in the final weeks, the race stays competitive; historical patterns in Guinea-Bissau elections underscore chronic instability and hung parliaments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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