Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Republican U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary field at 44% and prevailing in general election matchups against leading Democrats like Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (45%-36%) and former Rep. David Jolly (44%-39%), bolstering trader consensus on a Republican victory amid Florida's GOP voter registration advantage and rightward shift since 2020. A University of North Florida survey earlier in March confirmed single-digit Republican leads in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, despite a narrow Democratic special election win in state Senate District 14. With qualifying deadlines approaching and the August 18 primary looming, the crowded 42-candidate field favors the Trump-endorsed Donalds in a battleground state trending reliably red.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$10,722 Vol.
$10,722 Vol.

Republikaner
72%

Demokrat
20%
$10,722 Vol.
$10,722 Vol.

Republikaner
72%

Demokrat
20%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Emerson College polling from late March shows Republican U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leading the GOP primary field at 44% and prevailing in general election matchups against leading Democrats like Orange County Sheriff Jerry Demings (45%-36%) and former Rep. David Jolly (44%-39%), bolstering trader consensus on a Republican victory amid Florida's GOP voter registration advantage and rightward shift since 2020. A University of North Florida survey earlier in March confirmed single-digit Republican leads in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, despite a narrow Democratic special election win in state Senate District 14. With qualifying deadlines approaching and the August 18 primary looming, the crowded 42-candidate field favors the Trump-endorsed Donalds in a battleground state trending reliably red.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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