Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's five-year term, secured in 2023, runs until May 2028, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability against his exit by December 31, 2026. No snap election has materialized despite CHP opposition demands for early by-elections and "istifa" resignation chants echoing in recent rallies, such as Özgür Özel's April speeches. Anniversary protests for jailed rival Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu on March 18 drew crowds but prompted further government crackdowns rather than concessions. February health rumors were swiftly denied by the presidency, with no verified issues since. Erdoğan's AKP retains parliamentary majority and institutional leverage, though economic woes, scandals, or health events could alter dynamics ahead of 2028 polls.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertErdoğan bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 aus?
Erdoğan bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 aus?
Ja
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
4 % verdienen
Ja
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
4 % verdienen
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's five-year term, secured in 2023, runs until May 2028, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability against his exit by December 31, 2026. No snap election has materialized despite CHP opposition demands for early by-elections and "istifa" resignation chants echoing in recent rallies, such as Özgür Özel's April speeches. Anniversary protests for jailed rival Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu on March 18 drew crowds but prompted further government crackdowns rather than concessions. February health rumors were swiftly denied by the presidency, with no verified issues since. Erdoğan's AKP retains parliamentary majority and institutional leverage, though economic woes, scandals, or health events could alter dynamics ahead of 2028 polls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$348,914Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's five-year term, secured in 2023, runs until May 2028, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability against his exit by December 31, 2026. No snap election has materialized despite CHP opposition demands for early by-elections and "istifa" resignation chants echoing in recent rallies, such as Özgür Özel's April speeches. Anniversary protests for jailed rival Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu on March 18 drew crowds but prompted further government crackdowns rather than concessions. February health rumors were swiftly denied by the presidency, with no verified issues since. Erdoğan's AKP retains parliamentary majority and institutional leverage, though economic woes, scandals, or health events could alter dynamics ahead of 2028 polls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$348,914Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's five-year term, secured in 2023, runs until May 2028, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability against his exit by December 31, 2026. No snap election has materialized despite CHP opposition demands for early by-elections and "istifa" resignation chants echoing in recent rallies, such as Özgür Özel's April speeches. Anniversary protests for jailed rival Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu on March 18 drew crowds but prompted further government crackdowns rather than concessions. February health rumors were swiftly denied by the presidency, with no verified issues since. Erdoğan's AKP retains parliamentary majority and institutional leverage, though economic woes, scandals, or health events could alter dynamics ahead of 2028 polls.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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