Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, as his NDA coalition maintains its parliamentary majority following the 2024 elections and he continues to lead active governance. In his third term, which extends until 2029, Modi has overseen ongoing cabinet coordination, diplomatic engagements, and policy implementation without signs of internal revolt or confidence votes that could force an early exit. Opposition statements speculating on a shorter tenure have not altered the underlying political arithmetic, while recent economic and electoral developments show the BJP-led alliance retaining institutional control. Traders assign only single-digit odds to an early departure because no constitutional, health-related, or coalition-breaking events have emerged to disrupt this continuity before the December 2026 cutoff.