Trader consensus favors Erin Stewart at 52% implied probability to win Connecticut's 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by her strong fundraising—over $1 million raised as New Britain mayor—and endorsements from state party leaders, bolstering her moderate appeal in a blue-leaning state. Ryan Fazio trails at 34.5%, gaining from conservative grassroots support and recent internal polling showing momentum among Trump-aligned voters after his aggressive ad campaign launch. Betsy McCaughey's 13.5% reflects national name recognition but limited Connecticut ties, while Harry Arora (6.6%) and Timothy Wilcox (2.1%) lag due to weaker organization. Recent catalysts include Stewart's high-profile campaign kickoff event drawing 500 attendees and Fazio's debate qualification, with the August 2026 primary looming amid shifting early voter surveys.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertErin Stewart 52%
Ryan Fazio 24%
Harry Arora 8.0%
Betsy McCaughey 6%
Erin Stewart
52%
Ryan Fazio
35%
Harry Arora
7%
Betsy McCaughey
14%
Timothy Wilcox
2%
Erin Stewart 52%
Ryan Fazio 24%
Harry Arora 8.0%
Betsy McCaughey 6%
Erin Stewart
52%
Ryan Fazio
35%
Harry Arora
7%
Betsy McCaughey
14%
Timothy Wilcox
2%
If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Erin Stewart at 52% implied probability to win Connecticut's 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by her strong fundraising—over $1 million raised as New Britain mayor—and endorsements from state party leaders, bolstering her moderate appeal in a blue-leaning state. Ryan Fazio trails at 34.5%, gaining from conservative grassroots support and recent internal polling showing momentum among Trump-aligned voters after his aggressive ad campaign launch. Betsy McCaughey's 13.5% reflects national name recognition but limited Connecticut ties, while Harry Arora (6.6%) and Timothy Wilcox (2.1%) lag due to weaker organization. Recent catalysts include Stewart's high-profile campaign kickoff event drawing 500 attendees and Fazio's debate qualification, with the August 2026 primary looming amid shifting early voter surveys.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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