Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

Yes1%No99%

25 bps decrease

14%

Yes14%No86%

50+ bps decrease

Yes1%No99%

25 bps decrease

14%

Yes14%No86%

$80m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...?

February 13

Yes8%No92%

February 20

16%

Yes16%No84%

February 13

Yes8%No92%

February 20

16%

Yes16%No84%

$202m Vol.

BTC 15 Minute Up or Down

53%

Down

Live

$21m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

↑ 85,000

13%

Yes13%No87%

↑ 80,000

25%

Yes25%No75%

↑ 85,000

13%

Yes13%No87%

↑ 80,000

25%

Yes25%No75%

$41m Vol.

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Norway

79%

Yes79%No21%

United States

17%

Yes17%No83%

Norway

79%

Yes79%No21%

United States

17%

Yes17%No83%

$4m Vol.

Invictus Gaming

36%

Ninjas in Pyjamas

65%

Invictus

Ninjas in

Game 3

$2m Vol.

•LEAGUE OF-LEGENDS

Pistons

59%

Hornets

42%

Pistons

Hornets

$1m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:00 AM

Bulls

60%

Nets

41%

Bulls

Nets

$1m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:30 AM

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

69%

Yes69%No31%

Google

21%

Yes21%No79%

Anthropic

69%

Yes69%No31%

Google

21%

Yes21%No79%

$4m Vol.

Another US government shutdown by February 14?

73%

chance

Yes

$1m Vol.

How many viewers will the Big Game have?

124-128M

15%

Yes15%No85%

128-132M

44%

Yes44%No56%

124-128M

15%

Yes15%No85%

128-132M

44%

Yes44%No56%

$80k Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

18%

Down

$353k Vol.

NFL Champion 2027

Seattle Seahawks

18%

Yes18%No82%

Buffalo Bills

Yes9%No91%

Seattle Seahawks

18%

Yes18%No82%

Buffalo Bills

Yes9%No91%

NEW

•

$21k Vol.

Starmer out by...?

February 28

30%

Yes30%No70%

June 30, 2026

68%

Yes68%No32%

February 28

30%

Yes30%No70%

June 30, 2026

68%

Yes68%No32%

$3m Vol.

# of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1?

50-75M

17%

Yes17%No83%

75-100M

28%

Yes28%No72%

50-75M

17%

Yes17%No83%

75-100M

28%

Yes28%No72%

$98k Vol.

Claude 5 released by…?

February 14, 2026

Yes1%No99%

February 28, 2026

12%

Yes12%No88%

February 14, 2026

Yes1%No99%

February 28, 2026

12%

Yes12%No88%

$1m Vol.

Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Fed decision in March?

US strikes Iran by...?

BTC 15 Minute Up or Down

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Another US government shutdown by February 14?

How many viewers will the Big Game have?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

NFL Champion 2027

Starmer out by...?

# of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1?

Claude 5 released by…?