Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

magnifier
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? card icon

Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

96%

chance

$674k Vol.

repeat-3
Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

17%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

17%

$5m Vol.

repeat-3
What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model? card icon

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

December 11

86%

December 12

5%

December 11

86%

December 12

5%

$1m Vol.

repeat-3
Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?

420-439

19%

440-459

34%

420-439

19%

440-459

34%

$10m Vol.

repeat-3
Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

8%

March 31, 2026

37%

December 31, 2025

8%

March 31, 2026

37%

$23m Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

50%

December 31

70%

December 19

50%

December 31

70%

$4m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

73%

Kevin Warsh

14%

Kevin Hassett

73%

Kevin Warsh

14%

$36m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

25%

Pete Hegseth

20%

Kristi Noem

25%

Pete Hegseth

20%

$88k Vol.

repeat-3
US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 15

7%

December 31

23%

December 15

7%

December 31

23%

$36m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

3%

chance

$52m Vol.

repeat-3
College Football Champion 2026 card icon

College Football Champion 2026

Ohio State

31%

Indiana

20%

Ohio State

31%

Indiana

20%

$4m Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

500B–600B

3%

800B–900B

6%

500B–600B

3%

800B–900B

6%

$232k Vol.

Honduras Presidential Election card icon

Honduras Presidential Election

Nasry "Tito" Asfura

82%

Salvador Nasralla

16%

Nasry "Tito" Asfura

82%

Salvador Nasralla

16%

$21m Vol.

repeat-3
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

8%

Anthony Joshua

86%

Jake Paul

8%

Anthony Joshua

86%

$916k Vol.

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...? card icon

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

December 13

92%

December 31

98%

December 13

92%

December 31

98%

$2m Vol.

repeat-3
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner card icon

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

61%

John Cornyn

27%

Ken Paxton

61%

John Cornyn

27%

$556k Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 105,000

13%

↑ 100,000

30%

↑ 105,000

13%

↑ 100,000

30%

$101m Vol.

repeat-3
Bitcoin above ___ on December 11? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 11?

82,000

100%

84,000

100%

82,000

100%

84,000

100%

$3m Vol.

repeat-3
Highest grossing movie in 2025? card icon

Highest grossing movie in 2025?

A Minecraft Movie

96%

Avatar 3

3%

A Minecraft Movie

96%

Avatar 3

3%

$99m Vol.