Market icon

特朗普是否会在……之前访问中国?

Market icon

特朗普是否会在……之前访问中国?

$13,147,779 交易量

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$13,147,779 交易量

Polymarket

2026年3月31日

$6,408,918 交易量

<1%

2026年4月30日

$5,058,818 交易量

3%

5月31日

$689,075 交易量

79%

6月30日

$441,711 交易量

84%

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House officials confirmed on March 25 that President Trump will visit Beijing on May 14-15 for a summit with President Xi Jinping, rescheduling an earlier late-March trip postponed amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. This marks Trump's first trip to China since returning to office in January 2025, following their October 2025 sideline meeting in Busan and recent US-China economic talks in Paris on March 14 to address tariffs and trade tensions. No prior visit has occurred, with the delay tied to military priorities over "Operation Epic Fury." Upcoming factors include potential further postponements if the Iran war escalates, alongside US lawmakers' planned Taiwan visit signaling regional diplomacy pressures before the summit.

White House officials confirmed on March 25 that President Trump will visit Beijing on May 14-15 for a summit with President Xi Jinping, rescheduling an earlier late-March trip postponed amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. This marks Trump's first trip to China since returning to office in January 2025, following their October 2025 sideline meeting in Busan and recent US-China economic talks in Paris on March 14 to address tariffs and trade tensions. No prior visit has occurred, with the delay tied to military priorities over "Operation Epic Fury." Upcoming factors include potential further postponements if the Iran war escalates, alongside US lawmakers' planned Taiwan visit signaling regional diplomacy pressures before the summit.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House officials confirmed on March 25 that President Trump will visit Beijing on May 14-15 for a summit with President Xi Jinping, rescheduling an earlier late-March trip postponed amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. This marks Trump's first trip to China since returning to office in January 2025, following their October 2025 sideline meeting in Busan and recent US-China economic talks in Paris on March 14 to address tariffs and trade tensions. No prior visit has occurred, with the delay tied to military priorities over "Operation Epic Fury." Upcoming factors include potential further postponements if the Iran war escalates, alongside US lawmakers' planned Taiwan visit signaling regional diplomacy pressures before the summit.

White House officials confirmed on March 25 that President Trump will visit Beijing on May 14-15 for a summit with President Xi Jinping, rescheduling an earlier late-March trip postponed amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. This marks Trump's first trip to China since returning to office in January 2025, following their October 2025 sideline meeting in Busan and recent US-China economic talks in Paris on March 14 to address tariffs and trade tensions. No prior visit has occurred, with the delay tied to military priorities over "Operation Epic Fury." Upcoming factors include potential further postponements if the Iran war escalates, alongside US lawmakers' planned Taiwan visit signaling regional diplomacy pressures before the summit.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在……之前访问中国?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月30日",概率为 84%,其次是"5月31日",概率为 79%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 84¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 84%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普是否会在……之前访问中国?"已产生 $13.1 million 的总交易量(自Sep 19, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会在……之前访问中国?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在……之前访问中国?"的当前领先者是"6月30日",概率为 84%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 84%。紧随其后的结果是"5月31日",概率为 79%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在……之前访问中国?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。