Trader consensus on Polymarket's self-referential mindshare market, powered by Kaito AI's crypto Twitter "Info Markets" share-of-voice metric, prices a strong likelihood of peaking at 70-75% by June 30 (97-92% implied probabilities), with even odds around 80% but steep drops to 22% and 14% for 85-90%. This reflects sustained leadership after February's 80%+ surge from the Kaito attention markets rollout, tempered by recent retail trader exodus amid 0.05% trading fees and rising Kalshi competition, despite record volumes from institutional plays like the March 10 Palantir sports integrity partnership. Upcoming catalysts include a potential $POLY token launch and the April journalism toolkit expansion, which could reignite narrative dominance before the June deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Polymarket的思维占有率会有多高?
Polymarket的思维占有率会有多高?
$1,863,456 交易量
90%
<1%
85%
<1%
$1,863,456 交易量
90%
<1%
85%
<1%
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间: Nov 20, 2025, 2:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released.
The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's self-referential mindshare market, powered by Kaito AI's crypto Twitter "Info Markets" share-of-voice metric, prices a strong likelihood of peaking at 70-75% by June 30 (97-92% implied probabilities), with even odds around 80% but steep drops to 22% and 14% for 85-90%. This reflects sustained leadership after February's 80%+ surge from the Kaito attention markets rollout, tempered by recent retail trader exodus amid 0.05% trading fees and rising Kalshi competition, despite record volumes from institutional plays like the March 10 Palantir sports integrity partnership. Upcoming catalysts include a potential $POLY token launch and the April journalism toolkit expansion, which could reignite narrative dominance before the June deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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