以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?
$1,900,412 交易量
1月22日
$49,101 交易量
1%
1月22日
$49,101 交易量
1%
1月23日
$19,674 交易量
1%
1月23日
$19,674 交易量
1%
1月24日
$6,690 交易量
44%
1月24日
$6,690 交易量
44%
1月25日
$5,478 交易量
30%
1月25日
$5,478 交易量
30%
1月26日
$428 交易量
33%
1月26日
$428 交易量
33%
1月27日
$735 交易量
31%
1月27日
$735 交易量
31%
1月28日
$260 交易量
35%
1月28日
$260 交易量
35%
1月29日
$216 交易量
38%
1月29日
$216 交易量
38%
1月30日
$174 交易量
36%
1月30日
$174 交易量
36%
1月31日
$192 交易量
40%
1月31日
$192 交易量
40%
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
创建于: Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ET
交易量
$1,900,412结束日期
Jan 31, 2026创建于
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...以色列会在……袭击加沙吗?
$1,900,412 交易量
1月22日
$49,101 交易量
1%
1月23日
$19,674 交易量
1%
1月24日
$6,690 交易量
44%
1月25日
$5,478 交易量
30%
1月26日
$428 交易量
33%
1月27日
$735 交易量
31%
1月28日
$260 交易量
35%
1月29日
$216 交易量
38%
1月30日
$174 交易量
36%
1月31日
$192 交易量
40%
关于
交易量
$1,900,412结束日期
Jan 31, 2026创建于
Dec 31, 2025, 12:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。

注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。