Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for SpaceX's IPO valuation—30.5% each for $1.50-1.75 trillion and $1.75-2.00 trillion—reflect uncertainty over public market appetite for the mega-offering following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, and Bloomberg's April 2 report of targets exceeding $2 trillion, up from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation. Starlink's surging revenue, projected at $15-16 billion for 2025 with 50-80% profit margins, and dominance in launch cadence underpin the premium, but differentiation hinges on Starship's orbital milestones versus rivals like Blue Origin, alongside broader equity volatility and test-the-waters roadshows starting April 6 ahead of a potential June debut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1.50-1.75万亿 31%
1.75-2.00万亿 31%
2.00-2.25万亿 16%
2.25-2.50万亿 9%
$97,932 交易量
$97,932 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
5%
1.25-1.50万亿
7%
1.50-1.75万亿
31%
1.75-2.00万亿
31%
2.00-2.25万亿
16%
2.25-2.50万亿
9%
2.50万亿美元以上
6%
1.50-1.75万亿 31%
1.75-2.00万亿 31%
2.00-2.25万亿 16%
2.25-2.50万亿 9%
$97,932 交易量
$97,932 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
$54,222 交易量
5%
1.25-1.50万亿
$9,607 交易量
7%
1.50-1.75万亿
$5,322 交易量
31%
1.75-2.00万亿
$4,756 交易量
31%
2.00-2.25万亿
$8,157 交易量
16%
2.25-2.50万亿
$7,776 交易量
9%
2.50万亿美元以上
$8,091 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for SpaceX's IPO valuation—30.5% each for $1.50-1.75 trillion and $1.75-2.00 trillion—reflect uncertainty over public market appetite for the mega-offering following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, and Bloomberg's April 2 report of targets exceeding $2 trillion, up from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation. Starlink's surging revenue, projected at $15-16 billion for 2025 with 50-80% profit margins, and dominance in launch cadence underpin the premium, but differentiation hinges on Starship's orbital milestones versus rivals like Blue Origin, alongside broader equity volatility and test-the-waters roadshows starting April 6 ahead of a potential June debut.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$97,932市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for SpaceX's IPO valuation—30.5% each for $1.50-1.75 trillion and $1.75-2.00 trillion—reflect uncertainty over public market appetite for the mega-offering following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, and Bloomberg's April 2 report of targets exceeding $2 trillion, up from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation. Starlink's surging revenue, projected at $15-16 billion for 2025 with 50-80% profit margins, and dominance in launch cadence underpin the premium, but differentiation hinges on Starship's orbital milestones versus rivals like Blue Origin, alongside broader equity volatility and test-the-waters roadshows starting April 6 ahead of a potential June debut.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$97,932市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for SpaceX's IPO valuation—30.5% each for $1.50-1.75 trillion and $1.75-2.00 trillion—reflect uncertainty over public market appetite for the mega-offering following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, and Bloomberg's April 2 report of targets exceeding $2 trillion, up from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer valuation. Starlink's surging revenue, projected at $15-16 billion for 2025 with 50-80% profit margins, and dominance in launch cadence underpin the premium, but differentiation hinges on Starship's orbital milestones versus rivals like Blue Origin, alongside broader equity volatility and test-the-waters roadshows starting April 6 ahead of a potential June debut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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