US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
January 2026 16%
February 1 8.2%
February 2 3.8%
$630,033 交易量
$630,033 交易量
January 2026
$37,924 交易量
16%
January 2026
$37,924 交易量
16%
February 1
$43,784 交易量
8%
February 1
$43,784 交易量
8%
February 2
$20,751 交易量
4%
February 2
$20,751 交易量
4%
February 3
$23,177 交易量
3%
February 3
$23,177 交易量
3%
February 4
$20,708 交易量
2%
February 4
$20,708 交易量
2%
February 5
$18,382 交易量
1%
February 5
$18,382 交易量
1%
February 6
$19,328 交易量
3%
February 6
$19,328 交易量
3%
February 7
$19,759 交易量
4%
February 7
$19,759 交易量
4%
February 8
$19,392 交易量
2%
February 8
$19,392 交易量
2%
February 9
$16,690 交易量
1%
February 9
$16,690 交易量
1%
February 10
$16,354 交易量
1%
February 10
$16,354 交易量
1%
February 11
$16,043 交易量
1%
February 11
$16,043 交易量
1%
February 12
$20,108 交易量
1%
February 12
$20,108 交易量
1%
February 13
$19,331 交易量
2%
February 13
$19,331 交易量
2%
February 14
$17,585 交易量
3%
February 14
$17,585 交易量
3%
February 15
$21,067 交易量
1%
February 15
$21,067 交易量
1%
February 16
$17,717 交易量
1%
February 16
$17,717 交易量
1%
February 17
$17,960 交易量
1%
February 17
$17,960 交易量
1%
February 18
$18,453 交易量
1%
February 18
$18,453 交易量
1%
February 19
$15,349 交易量
1%
February 19
$15,349 交易量
1%
February 20
$16,394 交易量
1%
February 20
$16,394 交易量
1%
February 21
$17,483 交易量
1%
February 21
$17,483 交易量
1%
February 22
$19,162 交易量
1%
February 22
$19,162 交易量
1%
February 23
$17,066 交易量
1%
February 23
$17,066 交易量
1%
February 24
$20,072 交易量
1%
February 24
$20,072 交易量
1%
February 25
$24,682 交易量
1%
February 25
$24,682 交易量
1%
February 26
$21,885 交易量
1%
February 26
$21,885 交易量
1%
February 27
$24,588 交易量
2%
February 27
$24,588 交易量
2%
February 28
$18,506 交易量
2%
February 28
$18,506 交易量
2%
No strike by February 28
$30,860 交易量
41%
No strike by February 28
$30,860 交易量
41%
规则
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
创建于： Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
January 2026 16%
February 1 8.2%
February 2 3.8%
$630,033 交易量
$630,033 交易量
January 2026
16%
February 1
8%
February 2
4%
February 3
3%
February 4
2%
February 5
1%
February 6
3%
February 7
4%
February 8
2%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
3%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
1%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
41%
关于
Resolver
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