Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a massive opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above $200 million domestic over its 5-day Easter frame at 43% implied probability, outpacing conservative analyst forecasts of $160M–$175M from Deadline and BoxOffice Pro, thanks to surging presales that have doubled early tracking estimates. This bullish sentiment stems from the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $204M 5-day debut and $1.36 billion worldwide haul, amplified by the March 9 final trailer during Nintendo Direct—which set Guinness records—and the March 26 Star Fox crossover reveal featuring Fox McCloud, sparking viral buzz with minimal family competition. IMAX and 3D formats bolster appeal, though walk-up sales in the final days before April 1 could swing outcomes amid unpredictable holiday turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office
>200m 43%
170-180m 14.8%
190-200m 13.3%
160-170m 12.1%
$275,274 交易量
$275,274 交易量
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
7%
160-170m
12%
170-180m
15%
180-190m
12%
190-200m
13%
>200m
43%
>200m 43%
170-180m 14.8%
190-200m 13.3%
160-170m 12.1%
$275,274 交易量
$275,274 交易量
Apr 6, 2026
<160m
$21,167 交易量
7%
160-170m
$20,969 交易量
12%
170-180m
$19,704 交易量
15%
180-190m
$20,728 交易量
12%
190-200m
$20,339 交易量
13%
>200m
$172,369 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a massive opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above $200 million domestic over its 5-day Easter frame at 43% implied probability, outpacing conservative analyst forecasts of $160M–$175M from Deadline and BoxOffice Pro, thanks to surging presales that have doubled early tracking estimates. This bullish sentiment stems from the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $204M 5-day debut and $1.36 billion worldwide haul, amplified by the March 9 final trailer during Nintendo Direct—which set Guinness records—and the March 26 Star Fox crossover reveal featuring Fox McCloud, sparking viral buzz with minimal family competition. IMAX and 3D formats bolster appeal, though walk-up sales in the final days before April 1 could swing outcomes amid unpredictable holiday turnout.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$275,274结束日期
Apr 6, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a massive opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above $200 million domestic over its 5-day Easter frame at 43% implied probability, outpacing conservative analyst forecasts of $160M–$175M from Deadline and BoxOffice Pro, thanks to surging presales that have doubled early tracking estimates. This bullish sentiment stems from the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $204M 5-day debut and $1.36 billion worldwide haul, amplified by the March 9 final trailer during Nintendo Direct—which set Guinness records—and the March 26 Star Fox crossover reveal featuring Fox McCloud, sparking viral buzz with minimal family competition. IMAX and 3D formats bolster appeal, though walk-up sales in the final days before April 1 could swing outcomes amid unpredictable holiday turnout.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$275,274结束日期
Apr 6, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a massive opening for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie above $200 million domestic over its 5-day Easter frame at 43% implied probability, outpacing conservative analyst forecasts of $160M–$175M from Deadline and BoxOffice Pro, thanks to surging presales that have doubled early tracking estimates. This bullish sentiment stems from the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's $204M 5-day debut and $1.36 billion worldwide haul, amplified by the March 9 final trailer during Nintendo Direct—which set Guinness records—and the March 26 Star Fox crossover reveal featuring Fox McCloud, sparking viral buzz with minimal family competition. IMAX and 3D formats bolster appeal, though walk-up sales in the final days before April 1 could swing outcomes amid unpredictable holiday turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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