Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick maintains a solid lead in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, with recent polls like Race & Company (Oct 23-25) showing him at 52% to Democrat Ashley Ehasz's 42%, anchoring trader consensus at 63.5% for a GOP win. Fitzpatrick's moderate record, including bipartisan votes on issues like border security and Israel aid, bolsters his appeal in suburban Bucks County, a battleground area Biden narrowly carried in 2020. GOP national momentum and Fitzpatrick's fundraising edge—over $2 million raised—further solidify his path to victory amid early voting trends favoring incumbents. No major shifts in the past week, though turnout in this competitive district could narrow margins before Election Day on November 5.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
共和党
62%
民主党
38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
62%
民主党
$0 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick maintains a solid lead in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, with recent polls like Race & Company (Oct 23-25) showing him at 52% to Democrat Ashley Ehasz's 42%, anchoring trader consensus at 63.5% for a GOP win. Fitzpatrick's moderate record, including bipartisan votes on issues like border security and Israel aid, bolsters his appeal in suburban Bucks County, a battleground area Biden narrowly carried in 2020. GOP national momentum and Fitzpatrick's fundraising edge—over $2 million raised—further solidify his path to victory amid early voting trends favoring incumbents. No major shifts in the past week, though turnout in this competitive district could narrow margins before Election Day on November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick maintains a solid lead in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, with recent polls like Race & Company (Oct 23-25) showing him at 52% to Democrat Ashley Ehasz's 42%, anchoring trader consensus at 63.5% for a GOP win. Fitzpatrick's moderate record, including bipartisan votes on issues like border security and Israel aid, bolsters his appeal in suburban Bucks County, a battleground area Biden narrowly carried in 2020. GOP national momentum and Fitzpatrick's fundraising edge—over $2 million raised—further solidify his path to victory amid early voting trends favoring incumbents. No major shifts in the past week, though turnout in this competitive district could narrow margins before Election Day on November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick maintains a solid lead in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, with recent polls like Race & Company (Oct 23-25) showing him at 52% to Democrat Ashley Ehasz's 42%, anchoring trader consensus at 63.5% for a GOP win. Fitzpatrick's moderate record, including bipartisan votes on issues like border security and Israel aid, bolsters his appeal in suburban Bucks County, a battleground area Biden narrowly carried in 2020. GOP national momentum and Fitzpatrick's fundraising edge—over $2 million raised—further solidify his path to victory amid early voting trends favoring incumbents. No major shifts in the past week, though turnout in this competitive district could narrow margins before Election Day on November 5.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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