Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 49.5% in New Jersey's 5th Congressional District House race, reflecting incumbent Rep. Josh Gottheimer's strong incumbency advantage, over $10 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025, and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball in this D+2 partisan voter index district. Recent GOP primary consolidation—rival John Aslanian dropped out late March to endorse Sean Kirrane, the party organization's socially moderate pick—has failed to boost Republican odds to 24%, hampered by Kirrane's revelation of skipping the 2024 presidential vote and lack of competitive polling. With primaries set for June 2, early-cycle uncertainty keeps the contest closely balanced ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
81%
共和党
20%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$255 交易量
81%
共和党
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 49.5% in New Jersey's 5th Congressional District House race, reflecting incumbent Rep. Josh Gottheimer's strong incumbency advantage, over $10 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025, and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball in this D+2 partisan voter index district. Recent GOP primary consolidation—rival John Aslanian dropped out late March to endorse Sean Kirrane, the party organization's socially moderate pick—has failed to boost Republican odds to 24%, hampered by Kirrane's revelation of skipping the 2024 presidential vote and lack of competitive polling. With primaries set for June 2, early-cycle uncertainty keeps the contest closely balanced ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$255结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 49.5% in New Jersey's 5th Congressional District House race, reflecting incumbent Rep. Josh Gottheimer's strong incumbency advantage, over $10 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025, and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball in this D+2 partisan voter index district. Recent GOP primary consolidation—rival John Aslanian dropped out late March to endorse Sean Kirrane, the party organization's socially moderate pick—has failed to boost Republican odds to 24%, hampered by Kirrane's revelation of skipping the 2024 presidential vote and lack of competitive polling. With primaries set for June 2, early-cycle uncertainty keeps the contest closely balanced ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$255结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 49.5% in New Jersey's 5th Congressional District House race, reflecting incumbent Rep. Josh Gottheimer's strong incumbency advantage, over $10 million cash-on-hand as of late 2025, and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball in this D+2 partisan voter index district. Recent GOP primary consolidation—rival John Aslanian dropped out late March to endorse Sean Kirrane, the party organization's socially moderate pick—has failed to boost Republican odds to 24%, hampered by Kirrane's revelation of skipping the 2024 presidential vote and lack of competitive polling. With primaries set for June 2, early-cycle uncertainty keeps the contest closely balanced ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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