Polymarket traders' near-even split between 3.3% (39.1% implied probability) and ≥3.4% (38.6%) for March 2026 CPI year-over-year reflects uncertainty over energy price passthrough from recent Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which spiked oil amid steady February headline inflation at 2.4%. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC projections raised 2026 PCE inflation to 2.7%, signaling sticky pressures, while Conference Board data showed consumer expectations surging to near 6%—the sharpest monthly jump since 2025. Differentiating factors include March 2025 base effects and potential acceleration in headline components, with core trends muted; resolution hinges on BLS data April 10.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3.3% 39.1%
≥3.4% 38.6%
3.2% 19%
3.1% 4.7%
$895,714 交易量
$895,714 交易量
2026-04-10
不超过2.6%
1%
2.7%
<1%
2.8%
1%
2.9%
1%
3.0%
<1%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
19%
3.3%
39%
≥3.4%
39%
3.3% 39.1%
≥3.4% 38.6%
3.2% 19%
3.1% 4.7%
$895,714 交易量
$895,714 交易量
2026-04-10
不超过2.6%
$109,522 交易量
1%
2.7%
$106,164 交易量
<1%
2.8%
$51,297 交易量
1%
2.9%
$48,703 交易量
1%
3.0%
$52,007 交易量
<1%
3.1%
$72,692 交易量
5%
3.2%
$48,153 交易量
19%
3.3%
$171,793 交易量
39%
≥3.4%
$235,431 交易量
39%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders' near-even split between 3.3% (39.1% implied probability) and ≥3.4% (38.6%) for March 2026 CPI year-over-year reflects uncertainty over energy price passthrough from recent Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which spiked oil amid steady February headline inflation at 2.4%. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC projections raised 2026 PCE inflation to 2.7%, signaling sticky pressures, while Conference Board data showed consumer expectations surging to near 6%—the sharpest monthly jump since 2025. Differentiating factors include March 2025 base effects and potential acceleration in headline components, with core trends muted; resolution hinges on BLS data April 10.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$895,714结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders' near-even split between 3.3% (39.1% implied probability) and ≥3.4% (38.6%) for March 2026 CPI year-over-year reflects uncertainty over energy price passthrough from recent Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which spiked oil amid steady February headline inflation at 2.4%. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC projections raised 2026 PCE inflation to 2.7%, signaling sticky pressures, while Conference Board data showed consumer expectations surging to near 6%—the sharpest monthly jump since 2025. Differentiating factors include March 2025 base effects and potential acceleration in headline components, with core trends muted; resolution hinges on BLS data April 10.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$895,714结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' near-even split between 3.3% (39.1% implied probability) and ≥3.4% (38.6%) for March 2026 CPI year-over-year reflects uncertainty over energy price passthrough from recent Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, which spiked oil amid steady February headline inflation at 2.4%. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC projections raised 2026 PCE inflation to 2.7%, signaling sticky pressures, while Conference Board data showed consumer expectations surging to near 6%—the sharpest monthly jump since 2025. Differentiating factors include March 2025 base effects and potential acceleration in headline components, with core trends muted; resolution hinges on BLS data April 10.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题