Opposition leader Lee Jae-myung faces no active impeachment proceedings in South Korea's National Assembly, where his Democratic Party holds a supermajority of 192 seats following President Yoon Suk-yeol's failed martial law declaration on December 3, 2024, and subsequent impeachment vote on December 14 by 204-85. This political crisis has sidelined any ruling People Power Party efforts against Lee, bolstering trader consensus at 90% "No" probability before 2027. Lee's recent legal setback was mitigated when the Supreme Court quashed his election law conviction on November 14, ordering a retrial amid ongoing probes but no escalation to impeachment, which requires a two-thirds Assembly vote for eligible officials. Upcoming Constitutional Court hearings on Yoon could trigger a snap presidential election by March 2025, where Lee leads polls, yet traders see minimal risk of swift reversal given opposition dominance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
是
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition leader Lee Jae-myung faces no active impeachment proceedings in South Korea's National Assembly, where his Democratic Party holds a supermajority of 192 seats following President Yoon Suk-yeol's failed martial law declaration on December 3, 2024, and subsequent impeachment vote on December 14 by 204-85. This political crisis has sidelined any ruling People Power Party efforts against Lee, bolstering trader consensus at 90% "No" probability before 2027. Lee's recent legal setback was mitigated when the Supreme Court quashed his election law conviction on November 14, ordering a retrial amid ongoing probes but no escalation to impeachment, which requires a two-thirds Assembly vote for eligible officials. Upcoming Constitutional Court hearings on Yoon could trigger a snap presidential election by March 2025, where Lee leads polls, yet traders see minimal risk of swift reversal given opposition dominance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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