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在2025年有多少次 SpaceX 星舰发射进入太空?

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在2025年有多少次 SpaceX 星舰发射进入太空?

分组项标题:4-6 100.0%

<4 <1%

7-9 <1%

分组项标题:10-12 <1%

Polymarket

$575,136 交易量

分组项标题:4-6 100.0%

<4 <1%

7-9 <1%

分组项标题:10-12 <1%

Polymarket

$575,136 交易量

<4

$50,448 交易量

分组项标题:4-6

$117,814 交易量

7-9

$191,096 交易量

分组项标题:10-12

$60,143 交易量

分组项标题:13-15

$45,111 交易量

16-18

$26,702 交易量

分组项标题:19-21

$25,250 交易量

22-24

$27,555 交易量

25+

$31,018 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 13 (inclusive) and 15 (inclusive) SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.

The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g. via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$575,136
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Jan 1, 2025, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 13 (inclusive) and 15 (inclusive) SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g. via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在2025年有多少次 SpaceX 星舰发射进入太空?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "分组项标题:4-6" at 100%, followed by "<4" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "在2025年有多少次 SpaceX 星舰发射进入太空?" has generated $575.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "在2025年有多少次 SpaceX 星舰发射进入太空?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在2025年有多少次 SpaceX 星舰发射进入太空?" is "分组项标题:4-6" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<4" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在2025年有多少次 SpaceX 星舰发射进入太空?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.