Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station and corroborating data from IMGW confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 14°C around 3 PM local time, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation, aligning precisely with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that projected daytime highs near 14°C amid cool northerly flow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement from calibrated sensors, consistent with early April climatology averaging 13–14°C highs. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are exceptional after 24-hour validation periods. Market resolution awaits final IMGW bulletin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 3?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$87,356 交易量
$87,356 交易量
2026-04-03
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$87,356 交易量
$87,356 交易量
2026-04-03
7°C or below
$2,661 交易量
No
8°C
$2,331 交易量
No
9°C
$1,662 交易量
No
10°C
$1,737 交易量
No
11°C
$3,633 交易量
No
12°C
$6,779 交易量
No
13°C
$36,937 交易量
No
14°C
$10,132 交易量
Yes
15°C
$7,534 交易量
No
16°C
$8,320 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$5,629 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station and corroborating data from IMGW confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 14°C around 3 PM local time, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation, aligning precisely with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that projected daytime highs near 14°C amid cool northerly flow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement from calibrated sensors, consistent with early April climatology averaging 13–14°C highs. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are exceptional after 24-hour validation periods. Market resolution awaits final IMGW bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$87,356结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station and corroborating data from IMGW confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 14°C around 3 PM local time, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation, aligning precisely with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that projected daytime highs near 14°C amid cool northerly flow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement from calibrated sensors, consistent with early April climatology averaging 13–14°C highs. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are exceptional after 24-hour validation periods. Market resolution awaits final IMGW bulletin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$87,356结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station and corroborating data from IMGW confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 14°C around 3 PM local time, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation, aligning precisely with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that projected daytime highs near 14°C amid cool northerly flow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement from calibrated sensors, consistent with early April climatology averaging 13–14°C highs. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are exceptional after 24-hour validation periods. Market resolution awaits final IMGW bulletin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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