Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a peak temperature of 82-83°F at 27.5% for Denver on March 26, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast indicating highs near 80°F under a strong high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies, promoting adiabatic warming via downslope Chinook winds from the southwest. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs diverge notably, with ensemble means around 79°F but outliers spanning 74-85°F due to varying cloud cover predictions and ridge amplitude ahead of a weak Pacific front; 12z updates this morning shifted some guidance warmer, boosting the upper bins while cooler outcomes like 76-77°F hold at 22% amid uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Historical March analogs with similar 500 mb heights average 78°F highs, underscoring the tight race as afternoon soundings will clarify convective potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
82-83°F 27%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 17%
80-81°F 14%
$36,148 交易量
$36,148 交易量
71°F or below
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 27%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 17%
80-81°F 14%
$36,148 交易量
$36,148 交易量
71°F or below
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a peak temperature of 82-83°F at 27.5% for Denver on March 26, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast indicating highs near 80°F under a strong high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies, promoting adiabatic warming via downslope Chinook winds from the southwest. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs diverge notably, with ensemble means around 79°F but outliers spanning 74-85°F due to varying cloud cover predictions and ridge amplitude ahead of a weak Pacific front; 12z updates this morning shifted some guidance warmer, boosting the upper bins while cooler outcomes like 76-77°F hold at 22% amid uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Historical March analogs with similar 500 mb heights average 78°F highs, underscoring the tight race as afternoon soundings will clarify convective potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题