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财务·商品

黄金（ GC ）高于3月底的___ ？

Market icon
财务·商品

黄金（ GC ）高于3月底的___ ？

Mar 31

Jun 30

Mar 31

Jun 30

$161,634 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$161,634 交易量

Polymarket

$7,000

$16,091 交易量

<1%

$6,500

$5,806 交易量

<1%

6,000美元

$18,080 交易量

<1%

5,800美元

$30,820 交易量

<1%

5,600美元

$4,847 交易量

1%

$5,400

$43,994 交易量

1%

$5,200

$4,403 交易量

2%

5,000美元

$10,000 交易量

3%

4,800美元

$11,188 交易量

7%

4,600美元

$6,169 交易量

24%

4,400美元

$2,096 交易量

76%

4,000美元

$8,140 交易量

95%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) continuous contract futures settled at $4,492 on March 27, 2026, reflecting a 22% correction from January's all-time high of $5,603 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve pivot at the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers signaled fewer rate cuts in 2026 due to persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor data. Rising U.S. Treasury yields—10-year at around 4.5%—and a stronger dollar have compressed real yields negatively impacting non-yielding gold, while quarter-end rebalancing flows add volatility. Traders eye potential last-minute catalysts like February core PCE data release on March 28, but breaching the $5,200 threshold by March's final trading day appears challenging absent major geopolitical escalation, with April 28-29 FOMC looming as the next policy pivot point.

Gold (GC) continuous contract futures settled at $4,492 on March 27, 2026, reflecting a 22% correction from January's all-time high of $5,603 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve pivot at the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers signaled fewer rate cuts in 2026 due to persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor data. Rising U.S. Treasury yields—10-year at around 4.5%—and a stronger dollar have compressed real yields negatively impacting non-yielding gold, while quarter-end rebalancing flows add volatility. Traders eye potential last-minute catalysts like February core PCE data release on March 28, but breaching the $5,200 threshold by March's final trading day appears challenging absent major geopolitical escalation, with April 28-29 FOMC looming as the next policy pivot point.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold (GC) continuous contract futures settled at $4,492 on March 27, 2026, reflecting a 22% correction from January's all-time high of $5,603 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve pivot at the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers signaled fewer rate cuts in 2026 due to persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor data. Rising U.S. Treasury yields—10-year at around 4.5%—and a stronger dollar have compressed real yields negatively impacting non-yielding gold, while quarter-end rebalancing flows add volatility. Traders eye potential last-minute catalysts like February core PCE data release on March 28, but breaching the $5,200 threshold by March's final trading day appears challenging absent major geopolitical escalation, with April 28-29 FOMC looming as the next policy pivot point.

Gold (GC) continuous contract futures settled at $4,492 on March 27, 2026, reflecting a 22% correction from January's all-time high of $5,603 amid a hawkish Federal Reserve pivot at the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where policymakers signaled fewer rate cuts in 2026 due to persistent inflation pressures and resilient labor data. Rising U.S. Treasury yields—10-year at around 4.5%—and a stronger dollar have compressed real yields negatively impacting non-yielding gold, while quarter-end rebalancing flows add volatility. Traders eye potential last-minute catalysts like February core PCE data release on March 28, but breaching the $5,200 threshold by March's final trading day appears challenging absent major geopolitical escalation, with April 28-29 FOMC looming as the next policy pivot point.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"黄金（ GC ）高于3月底的___ ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"4,000美元"，概率为 95%，其次是"4,400美元"，概率为 76%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 95¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"黄金（ GC ）高于3月底的___ ？"已产生 $161.6K 的总交易量（自Mar 3, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"黄金（ GC ）高于3月底的___ ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"黄金（ GC ）高于3月底的___ ？"的当前领先者是"4,000美元"，概率为 95%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 95%。紧随其后的结果是"4,400美元"，概率为 76%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"黄金（ GC ）高于3月底的___ ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。