Gold spot (XAUUSD) trades near $4,493 after a nearly 10% March correction, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve signals from the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where projections implied zero rate cuts in 2026 amid core PCE inflation holding above 3%. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields around 4.42% and a stronger U.S. Dollar Index at 100.2 amplify opportunity costs for non-yielding gold, offsetting sporadic safe-haven demand from Middle East geopolitical risks. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects range-bound expectations, with key swing factors including Dallas Fed services revenues on March 30 and March nonfarm payrolls on April 3—both capable of shifting rate path pricing before the April 28-29 FOMC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于↑ $4,800
99%
↑ $4,750
100%
↑ $4,700
100%
↑ $4,650
100%
↑ $4,600
100%
↑ $4,550
100%
↑ $4,500
100%
↓ $4,450
51%
↓ $4,400
100%
↓ $4,350
100%
↓ $4,300
100%
↓ $4,250
51%
↓ 4,200美元
100%
↓ 4,150美元
100%
$0.00 交易量
↑ $4,800
99%
↑ $4,750
100%
↑ $4,700
100%
↑ $4,650
100%
↑ $4,600
100%
↑ $4,550
100%
↑ $4,500
100%
↓ $4,450
51%
↓ $4,400
100%
↓ $4,350
100%
↓ $4,300
100%
↓ $4,250
51%
↓ 4,200美元
100%
↓ 4,150美元
100%
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold spot (XAUUSD) trades near $4,493 after a nearly 10% March correction, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve signals from the March 17-18 FOMC meeting, where projections implied zero rate cuts in 2026 amid core PCE inflation holding above 3%. Elevated 10-year Treasury yields around 4.42% and a stronger U.S. Dollar Index at 100.2 amplify opportunity costs for non-yielding gold, offsetting sporadic safe-haven demand from Middle East geopolitical risks. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects range-bound expectations, with key swing factors including Dallas Fed services revenues on March 30 and March nonfarm payrolls on April 3—both capable of shifting rate path pricing before the April 28-29 FOMC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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