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Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

Market icon

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?

4月 3

4月 3

80–85 96%

85–90 1.0%

90–95 <1%

75–80 <1%

Polymarket
最新

80–85 96%

85–90 1.0%

90–95 <1%

75–80 <1%

Polymarket
最新

<75

$429 交易量

<1%

75–80

$533 交易量

1%

80–85

$3,608 交易量

96%

85–90

$302 交易量

1%

90–95

$3,798 交易量

1%

95以上

$278 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC's FluSurv-NET surveillance data reported a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population as of Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026), the third highest at this stage since 2010, amid declining seasonal activity with outpatient illness visits at 1.4–1.9% and national forecasts predicting just 0.93 new weekly admissions per 100,000 for Week 12 (95% interval: 0.29–2.19). This trajectory supports trader consensus on 80–85 at 95.5% implied probability, reflecting low transmission dynamics and historical late-season slowdowns in moderately severe 2025–26 flu season. Challenges could arise from unreported surges in under-surveilled regions or model outliers exceeding the upper forecast bound, with Week 12 data release expected soon via FluView.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$8,948
结束日期
2026-04-03
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.CDC's FluSurv-NET surveillance data reported a cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 81.6 per 100,000 population as of Week 11 (ending March 21, 2026), the third highest at this stage since 2010, amid declining seasonal activity with outpatient illness visits at 1.4–1.9% and national forecasts predicting just 0.93 new weekly admissions per 100,000 for Week 12 (95% interval: 0.29–2.19). This trajectory supports trader consensus on 80–85 at 95.5% implied probability, reflecting low transmission dynamics and historical late-season slowdowns in moderately severe 2025–26 flu season. Challenges could arise from unreported surges in under-surveilled regions or model outliers exceeding the upper forecast bound, with Week 12 data release expected soon via FluView.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$8,948
结束日期
2026-04-03
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"80–85"，概率为 96%，其次是"75–80"，概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?"的当前领先者是"80–85"，概率为 96%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"75–80"，概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。