Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts March 31-April 7, with 260-279 (12.5%), 300-319 (11.5%), 240-259 (11.5%), and 280-299 (11.5%) as top contenders, signaling high uncertainty in his posting rhythm. Recent variability drives this—resolved markets show March 13-20 at 320-339 (~46/day average), but March 20-27 dipped to ~154 (~22/day) amid Musk's focus on Tesla FSD v14 demos in Germany and Grok speed upgrades. Differentiators include viral political jabs or tech announcements spiking volume, versus lulls during SpaceX/Tesla sprints; early-week engagement on current events like Model Y sales records could tip toward higher bins before the April 7 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于260-279 13%
240-259 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
NEW
$2,112,527 交易量
NEW
$2,112,527 交易量
Apr 7, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
12%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 13%
240-259 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
NEW
$2,112,527 交易量
NEW
$2,112,527 交易量
Apr 7, 2026
<20
$46,682 交易量
<1%
20-39
$1,769,974 交易量
<1%
40-59
$31,168 交易量
<1%
60-79
$29,543 交易量
<1%
80-99
$25,709 交易量
<1%
100-119
$14,738 交易量
<1%
120-139
$11,327 交易量
<1%
140-159
$8,990 交易量
<1%
160-179
$8,884 交易量
1%
180-199
$5,644 交易量
2%
200-219
$4,660 交易量
6%
220-239
$6,228 交易量
7%
240-259
$9,247 交易量
12%
260-279
$10,088 交易量
13%
280-299
$8,438 交易量
12%
300-319
$7,970 交易量
12%
320-339
$6,449 交易量
11%
340-359
$6,391 交易量
9%
360-379
$5,603 交易量
8%
380-399
$6,348 交易量
5%
400-419
$5,120 交易量
4%
420-439
$4,007 交易量
2%
440-459
$5,864 交易量
2%
460-479
$5,688 交易量
1%
480-499
$5,660 交易量
1%
500-519
$8,251 交易量
1%
520-539
$7,067 交易量
<1%
540-559
$14,021 交易量
<1%
560-579
$14,731 交易量
<1%
580+
$20,367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts March 31-April 7, with 260-279 (12.5%), 300-319 (11.5%), 240-259 (11.5%), and 280-299 (11.5%) as top contenders, signaling high uncertainty in his posting rhythm. Recent variability drives this—resolved markets show March 13-20 at 320-339 (~46/day average), but March 20-27 dipped to ~154 (~22/day) amid Musk's focus on Tesla FSD v14 demos in Germany and Grok speed upgrades. Differentiators include viral political jabs or tech announcements spiking volume, versus lulls during SpaceX/Tesla sprints; early-week engagement on current events like Model Y sales records could tip toward higher bins before the April 7 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,112,527结束日期
Apr 7, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts March 31-April 7, with 260-279 (12.5%), 300-319 (11.5%), 240-259 (11.5%), and 280-299 (11.5%) as top contenders, signaling high uncertainty in his posting rhythm. Recent variability drives this—resolved markets show March 13-20 at 320-339 (~46/day average), but March 20-27 dipped to ~154 (~22/day) amid Musk's focus on Tesla FSD v14 demos in Germany and Grok speed upgrades. Differentiators include viral political jabs or tech announcements spiking volume, versus lulls during SpaceX/Tesla sprints; early-week engagement on current events like Model Y sales records could tip toward higher bins before the April 7 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,112,527结束日期
Apr 7, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts March 31-April 7, with 260-279 (12.5%), 300-319 (11.5%), 240-259 (11.5%), and 280-299 (11.5%) as top contenders, signaling high uncertainty in his posting rhythm. Recent variability drives this—resolved markets show March 13-20 at 320-339 (~46/day average), but March 20-27 dipped to ~154 (~22/day) amid Musk's focus on Tesla FSD v14 demos in Germany and Grok speed upgrades. Differentiators include viral political jabs or tech announcements spiking volume, versus lulls during SpaceX/Tesla sprints; early-week engagement on current events like Model Y sales records could tip toward higher bins before the April 7 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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