Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 220-239 X posts by Elon Musk at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time tracker data from sources like XTracker confirming the tally squarely in this bin as the March 24 (12:00 PM ET) to March 31 (12:00 PM ET) window closes today. Musk's consistent 25-30 daily cadence—fueled by viral commentary on Neuralink's ALS speech breakthroughs, Tesla's outsider innovation story, AI leaks like Claude Code, and meme bangers—has held steady, mirroring his high-engagement patterns amid Grok updates and cultural buzz. With the market in final review on $13M volume, upsets are negligible, requiring only an improbable oracle recount dispute over main feed posts, quotes, and reposts (replies largely excluded).
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？
Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,226,989 交易量
$13,226,989 交易量
2026-03-31
<20
否
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200-219
否
220-239
是
240-259
否
260-279
否
280-299
否
300-319
否
320-339
否
340-359
否
360-379
否
380-399
否
400-419
否
420-439
否
440-459
否
460-479
否
480-499
否
500-519
否
520-539
否
540-559
否
560-579
否
580+
否
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$13,226,989 交易量
$13,226,989 交易量
2026-03-31
<20
$0 交易量
否
20-39
$0 交易量
否
40-59
$0 交易量
否
60-79
$61,181 交易量
否
80-99
$82,772 交易量
否
100-119
$141,644 交易量
否
120-139
$264,628 交易量
否
140-159
$826,008 交易量
否
160-179
$802,558 交易量
否
180-199
$897,711 交易量
否
200-219
$1,487,067 交易量
否
220-239
$1,370,342 交易量
是
240-259
$1,053,963 交易量
否
260-279
$956,262 交易量
否
280-299
$788,007 交易量
否
300-319
$663,867 交易量
否
320-339
$479,160 交易量
否
340-359
$391,821 交易量
否
360-379
$385,478 交易量
否
380-399
$319,464 交易量
否
400-419
$342,054 交易量
否
420-439
$273,164 交易量
否
440-459
$275,196 交易量
否
460-479
$222,661 交易量
否
480-499
$181,754 交易量
否
500-519
$212,317 交易量
否
520-539
$164,019 交易量
否
540-559
$158,033 交易量
否
560-579
$181,279 交易量
否
580+
$244,578 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 220-239 X posts by Elon Musk at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time tracker data from sources like XTracker confirming the tally squarely in this bin as the March 24 (12:00 PM ET) to March 31 (12:00 PM ET) window closes today. Musk's consistent 25-30 daily cadence—fueled by viral commentary on Neuralink's ALS speech breakthroughs, Tesla's outsider innovation story, AI leaks like Claude Code, and meme bangers—has held steady, mirroring his high-engagement patterns amid Grok updates and cultural buzz. With the market in final review on $13M volume, upsets are negligible, requiring only an improbable oracle recount dispute over main feed posts, quotes, and reposts (replies largely excluded).
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$13,226,989结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 220-239 X posts by Elon Musk at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time tracker data from sources like XTracker confirming the tally squarely in this bin as the March 24 (12:00 PM ET) to March 31 (12:00 PM ET) window closes today. Musk's consistent 25-30 daily cadence—fueled by viral commentary on Neuralink's ALS speech breakthroughs, Tesla's outsider innovation story, AI leaks like Claude Code, and meme bangers—has held steady, mirroring his high-engagement patterns amid Grok updates and cultural buzz. With the market in final review on $13M volume, upsets are negligible, requiring only an improbable oracle recount dispute over main feed posts, quotes, and reposts (replies largely excluded).
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$13,226,989结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 220-239 X posts by Elon Musk at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time tracker data from sources like XTracker confirming the tally squarely in this bin as the March 24 (12:00 PM ET) to March 31 (12:00 PM ET) window closes today. Musk's consistent 25-30 daily cadence—fueled by viral commentary on Neuralink's ALS speech breakthroughs, Tesla's outsider innovation story, AI leaks like Claude Code, and meme bangers—has held steady, mirroring his high-engagement patterns amid Grok updates and cultural buzz. With the market in final review on $13M volume, upsets are negligible, requiring only an improbable oracle recount dispute over main feed posts, quotes, and reposts (replies largely excluded).
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题