Market icon
政治·奖励200、4.5、50

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？

Market icon
政治·奖励200、4.5、50

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
114
剩余时间
TWEETS
114
剩余时间

200-219 39.7%

220-239 33.5%

240-259 12%

180-199 8.3%

Polymarket

$8,324,991 交易量

200-219 39.7%

220-239 33.5%

240-259 12%

180-199 8.3%

Polymarket

$8,324,991 交易量

160-179

$700,803 交易量

<1%

180-199

$537,054 交易量

8%

200-219

$586,213 交易量

40%

220-239

$467,779 交易量

33%

240-259

$360,256 交易量

12%

260-279

$285,751 交易量

4%

280-299

$246,835 交易量

1%

300-319

$258,813 交易量

1%

320-339

$275,068 交易量

<1%

340-359

$335,237 交易量

<1%

360-379

$359,716 交易量

<1%

380-399

$316,759 交易量

<1%

400-419

$340,625 交易量

<1%

420-439

$270,765 交易量

<1%

440-459

$272,798 交易量

<1%

460-479

$220,157 交易量

<1%

480-499

$178,356 交易量

<1%

500-519

$209,898 交易量

<1%

520-539

$160,622 交易量

<1%

540-559

$156,635 交易量

<1%

560-579

$178,882 交易量

<1%

580+

$230,781 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 24–31, 2026, hinges on his recent deceleration in posting activity, with daily averages dipping to 15–20 X posts amid intense focus on SpaceX's record 38 launches in 88 days, Neuralink's speech-restoration trials, and Tesla Cybertruck updates. Earlier in March, volumes hit 45+ per day (e.g., 360–379 for March 17–24), but the past week's quieter rhythm—evident in just 40–64 projected for March 28–30—has piled up ~180–190 posts so far, leaving 200–219 (39.5%) and 220–239 (34.9%) in a nail-biter for the final 24 hours. A late viral thread on AI, politics, or controversy could tip toward higher bins, while sustained restraint favors the lower leader; watch March 31 announcements as the swing factor in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 24–31, 2026, hinges on his recent deceleration in posting activity, with daily averages dipping to 15–20 X posts amid intense focus on SpaceX's record 38 launches in 88 days, Neuralink's speech-restoration trials, and Tesla Cybertruck updates. Earlier in March, volumes hit 45+ per day (e.g., 360–379 for March 17–24), but the past week's quieter rhythm—evident in just 40–64 projected for March 28–30—has piled up ~180–190 posts so far, leaving 200–219 (39.5%) and 220–239 (34.9%) in a nail-biter for the final 24 hours. A late viral thread on AI, politics, or controversy could tip toward higher bins, while sustained restraint favors the lower leader; watch March 31 announcements as the swing factor in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 24 12:00 PM ET to March 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 24–31, 2026, hinges on his recent deceleration in posting activity, with daily averages dipping to 15–20 X posts amid intense focus on SpaceX's record 38 launches in 88 days, Neuralink's speech-restoration trials, and Tesla Cybertruck updates. Earlier in March, volumes hit 45+ per day (e.g., 360–379 for March 17–24), but the past week's quieter rhythm—evident in just 40–64 projected for March 28–30—has piled up ~180–190 posts so far, leaving 200–219 (39.5%) and 220–239 (34.9%) in a nail-biter for the final 24 hours. A late viral thread on AI, politics, or controversy could tip toward higher bins, while sustained restraint favors the lower leader; watch March 31 announcements as the swing factor in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 24–31, 2026, hinges on his recent deceleration in posting activity, with daily averages dipping to 15–20 X posts amid intense focus on SpaceX's record 38 launches in 88 days, Neuralink's speech-restoration trials, and Tesla Cybertruck updates. Earlier in March, volumes hit 45+ per day (e.g., 360–379 for March 17–24), but the past week's quieter rhythm—evident in just 40–64 projected for March 28–30—has piled up ~180–190 posts so far, leaving 200–219 (39.5%) and 220–239 (34.9%) in a nail-biter for the final 24 hours. A late viral thread on AI, politics, or controversy could tip toward higher bins, while sustained restraint favors the lower leader; watch March 31 announcements as the swing factor in this skin-in-the-game sentiment.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"200-219"，概率为 40%，其次是"220-239"，概率为 33%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 40¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 40%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"已产生 $8.3 million 的总交易量（自Mar 21, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"的当前领先者是"200-219"，概率为 40%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 40%。紧随其后的结果是"220-239"，概率为 33%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月24日至3月31日？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。