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埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月26日 - 2026年1月2日?

Market icon

埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月26日 - 2026年1月2日?

500-519 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$19,923,419 交易量

500-519 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$19,923,419 交易量

<20

$62,057 交易量

20-39

$98,035 交易量

40-59

$69,907 交易量

60-79

$73,934 交易量

80-99

$132,098 交易量

100-119

$165,385 交易量

120-139

$159,682 交易量

140-159

$141,629 交易量

160-179

$120,916 交易量

180-199

$151,347 交易量

200-219

$145,866 交易量

220-239

$154,024 交易量

240-259

$177,168 交易量

260-279

$244,905 交易量

280-299

$202,694 交易量

300-319

$229,644 交易量

320-339

$322,492 交易量

340-359

$575,062 交易量

360-379

$626,791 交易量

380-399

$583,692 交易量

400-419

$1,137,622 交易量

420-439

$1,276,549 交易量

440-459

$1,380,415 交易量

460-479

$2,003,878 交易量

480-499

$1,865,488 交易量

500-519

$2,651,921 交易量

520-539

$1,776,636 交易量

540-559

$1,270,668 交易量

560-579

$890,134 交易量

580条以上

$1,232,780 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 26 12:00 PM ET to January 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 26 12:00 PM ET to January 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$19,923,419
结束日期
2026-01-02
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 26 12:00 PM ET to January 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 26 12:00 PM ET to January 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 26 12:00 PM ET to January 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$19,923,419
结束日期
2026-01-02
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 26 12:00 PM ET to January 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月26日 - 2026年1月2日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"500-519",概率为 100%,其次是"<20",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月26日 - 2026年1月2日?"已产生 $19.9 million 的总交易量(自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月26日 - 2026年1月2日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月26日 - 2026年1月2日?"的当前领先者是"500-519",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<20",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2025年12月26日 - 2026年1月2日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。