Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high above $147 per barrel by April 30, reflecting skepticism despite a sharp 12% surge to $111.54 on April 2 amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iran-related supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. This recent rally from March lows near $90 stems from fears of prolonged output shocks, but abundant non-OPEC+ production growth—led by U.S. shale—and anticipated OPEC+ April output hikes are expected to rebalance markets toward surplus. IEA's March report forecasts softer 2026 demand growth at 640 kb/d, with EIA projecting Brent below $80 by Q3, underscoring barriers to a near-term peak amid resilient global inventories. Key catalysts include upcoming OPEC+ decisions and weekly EIA storage data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$56,271 交易量
$56,271 交易量
2026-04-30
$56,271 交易量
$56,271 交易量
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high above $147 per barrel by April 30, reflecting skepticism despite a sharp 12% surge to $111.54 on April 2 amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iran-related supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. This recent rally from March lows near $90 stems from fears of prolonged output shocks, but abundant non-OPEC+ production growth—led by U.S. shale—and anticipated OPEC+ April output hikes are expected to rebalance markets toward surplus. IEA's March report forecasts softer 2026 demand growth at 640 kb/d, with EIA projecting Brent below $80 by Q3, underscoring barriers to a near-term peak amid resilient global inventories. Key catalysts include upcoming OPEC+ decisions and weekly EIA storage data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$56,271结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high above $147 per barrel by April 30, reflecting skepticism despite a sharp 12% surge to $111.54 on April 2 amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iran-related supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. This recent rally from March lows near $90 stems from fears of prolonged output shocks, but abundant non-OPEC+ production growth—led by U.S. shale—and anticipated OPEC+ April output hikes are expected to rebalance markets toward surplus. IEA's March report forecasts softer 2026 demand growth at 640 kb/d, with EIA projecting Brent below $80 by Q3, underscoring barriers to a near-term peak amid resilient global inventories. Key catalysts include upcoming OPEC+ decisions and weekly EIA storage data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$56,271结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil reaching its all-time high above $147 per barrel by April 30, reflecting skepticism despite a sharp 12% surge to $111.54 on April 2 amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iran-related supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. This recent rally from March lows near $90 stems from fears of prolonged output shocks, but abundant non-OPEC+ production growth—led by U.S. shale—and anticipated OPEC+ April output hikes are expected to rebalance markets toward surplus. IEA's March report forecasts softer 2026 demand growth at 640 kb/d, with EIA projecting Brent below $80 by Q3, underscoring barriers to a near-term peak amid resilient global inventories. Key catalysts include upcoming OPEC+ decisions and weekly EIA storage data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题