WTI crude oil futures have rallied sharply to around $112 per barrel—multi-year highs—as Middle East war disruptions slashed OPEC output by over 7 million barrels per day in March, primarily via Strait of Hormuz export chokeholds affecting Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait. This supply shock drove an 11% single-day surge on April 2, yet Polymarket traders price just a 23.5% implied probability of eclipsing the $147 all-time high by April 30, reflecting consensus that U.S. shale production surges, strategic reserve releases, and non-OPEC supply buffers will cap upside amid global demand softness from China. Key catalysts include this weekend's OPEC+ meeting on potential output hikes and any Hormuz de-escalation signals, with EIA forecasting Brent averaging below $95/bbl through Q2 before easing further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$55,471 交易量
$55,471 交易量
2026-04-30
$55,471 交易量
$55,471 交易量
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil futures have rallied sharply to around $112 per barrel—multi-year highs—as Middle East war disruptions slashed OPEC output by over 7 million barrels per day in March, primarily via Strait of Hormuz export chokeholds affecting Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait. This supply shock drove an 11% single-day surge on April 2, yet Polymarket traders price just a 23.5% implied probability of eclipsing the $147 all-time high by April 30, reflecting consensus that U.S. shale production surges, strategic reserve releases, and non-OPEC supply buffers will cap upside amid global demand softness from China. Key catalysts include this weekend's OPEC+ meeting on potential output hikes and any Hormuz de-escalation signals, with EIA forecasting Brent averaging below $95/bbl through Q2 before easing further.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$55,471结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil futures have rallied sharply to around $112 per barrel—multi-year highs—as Middle East war disruptions slashed OPEC output by over 7 million barrels per day in March, primarily via Strait of Hormuz export chokeholds affecting Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait. This supply shock drove an 11% single-day surge on April 2, yet Polymarket traders price just a 23.5% implied probability of eclipsing the $147 all-time high by April 30, reflecting consensus that U.S. shale production surges, strategic reserve releases, and non-OPEC supply buffers will cap upside amid global demand softness from China. Key catalysts include this weekend's OPEC+ meeting on potential output hikes and any Hormuz de-escalation signals, with EIA forecasting Brent averaging below $95/bbl through Q2 before easing further.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$55,471结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have rallied sharply to around $112 per barrel—multi-year highs—as Middle East war disruptions slashed OPEC output by over 7 million barrels per day in March, primarily via Strait of Hormuz export chokeholds affecting Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait. This supply shock drove an 11% single-day surge on April 2, yet Polymarket traders price just a 23.5% implied probability of eclipsing the $147 all-time high by April 30, reflecting consensus that U.S. shale production surges, strategic reserve releases, and non-OPEC supply buffers will cap upside amid global demand softness from China. Key catalysts include this weekend's OPEC+ meeting on potential output hikes and any Hormuz de-escalation signals, with EIA forecasting Brent averaging below $95/bbl through Q2 before easing further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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