Polymarket traders price a 67.5% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus around a modest uptick from February's sticky 2.9% print—stable from January but above the 2.7% economist median forecast per central bank surveys. This positioning stems from recent fuel price surges exceeding 20% amid international oil pressures from Middle East tensions, seasonal back-to-school costs, and regulated tariff adjustments, offsetting tighter monetary policy and reserve accumulation. Private consultora estimates cluster near 3%, with lower bins like ≤2.1% at 0.9% probability signaling stalled disinflation amid rising services inflation. INDEC data due April 14 could catalyze shifts as traders weigh these dynamics against Milei's fiscal anchors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
3.1–3.3% 73%
2.8–3.0% 17%
3.4–3.6% 10.9%
2.5–2.7% 4%
$13,817 交易量
$13,817 交易量
Apr 14, 2026
≤2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
2%
2.5–2.7%
4%
2.8–3.0%
17%
3.1–3.3%
73%
3.4–3.6%
11%
3.7%+
2%
3.1–3.3% 73%
2.8–3.0% 17%
3.4–3.6% 10.9%
2.5–2.7% 4%
$13,817 交易量
$13,817 交易量
Apr 14, 2026
≤2.1%
$1,197 交易量
1%
2.2–2.4%
$821 交易量
2%
2.5–2.7%
$1,152 交易量
4%
2.8–3.0%
$1,430 交易量
17%
3.1–3.3%
$4,191 交易量
73%
3.4–3.6%
$1,629 交易量
11%
3.7%+
$3,399 交易量
2%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 67.5% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus around a modest uptick from February's sticky 2.9% print—stable from January but above the 2.7% economist median forecast per central bank surveys. This positioning stems from recent fuel price surges exceeding 20% amid international oil pressures from Middle East tensions, seasonal back-to-school costs, and regulated tariff adjustments, offsetting tighter monetary policy and reserve accumulation. Private consultora estimates cluster near 3%, with lower bins like ≤2.1% at 0.9% probability signaling stalled disinflation amid rising services inflation. INDEC data due April 14 could catalyze shifts as traders weigh these dynamics against Milei's fiscal anchors.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
交易量
$13,817结束日期
Apr 14, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price a 67.5% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus around a modest uptick from February's sticky 2.9% print—stable from January but above the 2.7% economist median forecast per central bank surveys. This positioning stems from recent fuel price surges exceeding 20% amid international oil pressures from Middle East tensions, seasonal back-to-school costs, and regulated tariff adjustments, offsetting tighter monetary policy and reserve accumulation. Private consultora estimates cluster near 3%, with lower bins like ≤2.1% at 0.9% probability signaling stalled disinflation amid rising services inflation. INDEC data due April 14 could catalyze shifts as traders weigh these dynamics against Milei's fiscal anchors.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$13,817结束日期
Apr 14, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 67.5% implied probability on Argentina's March 2026 monthly CPI falling in the 3.1–3.3% range, reflecting consensus around a modest uptick from February's sticky 2.9% print—stable from January but above the 2.7% economist median forecast per central bank surveys. This positioning stems from recent fuel price surges exceeding 20% amid international oil pressures from Middle East tensions, seasonal back-to-school costs, and regulated tariff adjustments, offsetting tighter monetary policy and reserve accumulation. Private consultora estimates cluster near 3%, with lower bins like ≤2.1% at 0.9% probability signaling stalled disinflation amid rising services inflation. INDEC data due April 14 could catalyze shifts as traders weigh these dynamics against Milei's fiscal anchors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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