Stable outlooks from Moody’s at Aa1, S&P at AA+, and Fitch at AA+ following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade anchor the 83% market-implied probability against another U.S. sovereign rating cut before 2027. Fitch’s April 30, 2026 report highlighted widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP and gross debt exceeding 120% of GDP next year as key risks, yet left the outlook unchanged, citing the dollar’s reserve-currency status and persistent foreign demand for Treasuries. Absent fresh debt-ceiling brinkmanship since the 2025 suspension, agencies have refrained from shifting to negative watches. Traders are monitoring the potential late-2026 X-date, midterm election outcomes, and FY2027 budget negotiations as the nearest catalysts that could alter fiscal trajectories and prompt rating revisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级？
在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级？
是
$10,086 交易量
$10,086 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$10,086 交易量
$10,086 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Stable outlooks from Moody’s at Aa1, S&P at AA+, and Fitch at AA+ following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade anchor the 83% market-implied probability against another U.S. sovereign rating cut before 2027. Fitch’s April 30, 2026 report highlighted widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP and gross debt exceeding 120% of GDP next year as key risks, yet left the outlook unchanged, citing the dollar’s reserve-currency status and persistent foreign demand for Treasuries. Absent fresh debt-ceiling brinkmanship since the 2025 suspension, agencies have refrained from shifting to negative watches. Traders are monitoring the potential late-2026 X-date, midterm election outcomes, and FY2027 budget negotiations as the nearest catalysts that could alter fiscal trajectories and prompt rating revisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$10,086结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Stable outlooks from Moody’s at Aa1, S&P at AA+, and Fitch at AA+ following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade anchor the 83% market-implied probability against another U.S. sovereign rating cut before 2027. Fitch’s April 30, 2026 report highlighted widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP and gross debt exceeding 120% of GDP next year as key risks, yet left the outlook unchanged, citing the dollar’s reserve-currency status and persistent foreign demand for Treasuries. Absent fresh debt-ceiling brinkmanship since the 2025 suspension, agencies have refrained from shifting to negative watches. Traders are monitoring the potential late-2026 X-date, midterm election outcomes, and FY2027 budget negotiations as the nearest catalysts that could alter fiscal trajectories and prompt rating revisions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,086结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stable outlooks from Moody’s at Aa1, S&P at AA+, and Fitch at AA+ following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade anchor the 83% market-implied probability against another U.S. sovereign rating cut before 2027. Fitch’s April 30, 2026 report highlighted widening deficits near 7.9% of GDP and gross debt exceeding 120% of GDP next year as key risks, yet left the outlook unchanged, citing the dollar’s reserve-currency status and persistent foreign demand for Treasuries. Absent fresh debt-ceiling brinkmanship since the 2025 suspension, agencies have refrained from shifting to negative watches. Traders are monitoring the potential late-2026 X-date, midterm election outcomes, and FY2027 budget negotiations as the nearest catalysts that could alter fiscal trajectories and prompt rating revisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题