Market icon
财务·每月

第二大公司3月底？

Market icon
财务·每月

第二大公司3月底？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

苹果 49%

Alphabet 45%

英伟达 <1%

微软 <1%

Polymarket

$1,960,884 交易量

苹果 49%

Alphabet 45%

英伟达 <1%

微软 <1%

Polymarket

$1,960,884 交易量

Market icon

苹果

$255,809 交易量

49%

Market icon

Alphabet

$241,015 交易量

45%

Market icon

英伟达

$157,130 交易量

1%

Market icon

微软

$171,441 交易量

<1%

Market icon

沙特阿美

$175,255 交易量

<1%

Market icon

特斯拉

$744,886 交易量

<1%

Market icon

亚马逊

$215,347 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,960,884
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket traders see a razor-thin race for the second-largest company by market cap at March's end, with Apple at 48.5% implied probability edging Alphabet's 44.5%, reflecting divergent trajectories amid Microsoft's unchallenged lead above $3 trillion. Apple's edge stems from resilient services revenue—up 14% YoY in recent quarters—and iPhone stabilization despite China headwinds, bolstering its ~$3.4 trillion cap versus Alphabet's ~$2.3 trillion. Alphabet's AI-driven cloud surge (Google Cloud +28% YoY) and ad resilience fuel catch-up bets, but valuation discounts (forward P/E ~22x vs Apple's 32x) cap upside. Key differentiator: Apple's ecosystem lock-in versus Alphabet's moonshot risks; watch January earnings for momentum shifts as real capital prices in Q1 guidance.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"第二大公司3月底？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"苹果"，概率为 49%，其次是"Alphabet"，概率为 45%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 49¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 49%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"第二大公司3月底？"已产生 $2 million 的总交易量（自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"第二大公司3月底？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"第二大公司3月底？"的当前领先者是"苹果"，概率为 49%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 49%。紧随其后的结果是"Alphabet"，概率为 45%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"第二大公司3月底？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。