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選舉人 預測與賠率

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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

28%

Anduril

$83.0K 交易量

$35.0K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.7K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$583M 交易量

$1M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends 超過 2 年內

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

2

Ends 6 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

125

Ends 大約 1 個月內

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K 交易量

$19.5K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M 交易量

$392K Liq.

75

Ends 超過 2 年內

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

28%

$156K 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

11

Ends 8 個月內

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$111K 交易量

$38.4K Liq.

31

Ends 6 個月內

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

29%

76-78%

$82 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$39.4K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$754K 交易量

$11.5K Liq.

15

Ends 5 個月前

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

8%

$29.5K 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

3

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$8.7K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

43%

$30.3K 交易量

$37.8K Liq.

3

Ends 4 個月內

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

63%

Spencer Pratt

$9.1K 交易量

$107K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?

80%

Karen Bass

$11.1K 交易量

$149K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

100%

70-75%

$261K 交易量

$61.4K Liq.

31

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$11.5K 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

2

Ends 超過 2 年內

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

62%

Republican

$116K 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 選舉人 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which companies will the US take a stake in?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $590.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 選舉人 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.