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犯罪 預測與賠率

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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

1%

$657K 交易量

$18.0K Liq.

13

Ends 大約 1 個月內

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14%

$28.4K 交易量

$17.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

8%

$37.9K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

8

Ends 8 個月內

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$262 交易量

$76 Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

18%

$61.7K 交易量

$3.3K Liq.

11

Ends 8 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

83%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

125

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K 交易量

$18.9K Liq.

10

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$39.3K Liq.

1,035

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

Les Wexner charged by June 30?

8%

$9.7K 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?

Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?

13%

$6.1K 交易量

$46 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

6%

$70.8K 交易量

$13.6K Liq.

25

Ends 8 個月內

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

26%

$6.4K 交易量

$420 Liq.

3

Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?

Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?

69%

$3.3K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

11%

$292K 交易量

$24.8K Liq.

45

Ends 8 個月內

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

17%

$129K 交易量

$15.8K Liq.

30

Ends 8 個月內

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

52%

Lee Jun-seok

$91.4K 交易量

$131K Liq.

4

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

76%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.4K 交易量

$579 Liq.

2

Ends 3 個月前

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

31%

$14.8K 交易量

$4.1K Liq.

12

Ends 14 天內

Eric Adams charged by December 31?

Eric Adams charged by December 31?

31%

$0 交易量

$108 Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$3.5K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 犯罪.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for 犯罪 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 3% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 犯罪 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.