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政治·主要

威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

曼德拉·巴恩斯 36%

弗朗西絲卡·洪 27.9%

薩拉·羅德里格斯 27%

大衛·克勞利 7.3%

Polymarket

$23,495 交易量

曼德拉·巴恩斯 36%

弗朗西絲卡·洪 27.9%

薩拉·羅德里格斯 27%

大衛·克勞利 7.3%

Polymarket

$23,495 交易量

曼德拉·巴恩斯

$7,350 交易量

36%

弗朗西絲卡·洪

$0 交易量

28%

薩拉·羅德里格斯

$5,408 交易量

27%

大衛·克勞利

$2,379 交易量

7%

喬爾·布倫南

$0 交易量

3%

Kelda Roys

$0 交易量

2%

Chris Larson

$8,358 交易量

1%

湯姆·尼爾森

$0 交易量

<1%

布雷特·霍爾西

$0 交易量

<1%

Tim Jacobson

$0 交易量

<1%

梅麗莎·阿加德

$0 交易量

<1%

Missy Hughes

$0 交易量

<1%

扎克瑞·羅珀

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, trader consensus slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 35.5% implied probability, buoyed by his highest name recognition—over 50% from prior statewide runs including the close 2022 U.S. Senate race—ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong (27.9%) and current Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (26.5%). A recent Marquette Law School poll (March 11-18) underscores the tight contest, with 65% of Democratic primary voters undecided and Hong edging decided support at 14% to Barnes' 11%, reflecting low overall candidate familiarity. Consolidation hinges on endorsements from unions or Evers allies, upcoming forums, fundraising reports, and dropouts splitting the progressive and establishment lanes.

In the crowded Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, trader consensus slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 35.5% implied probability, buoyed by his highest name recognition—over 50% from prior statewide runs including the close 2022 U.S. Senate race—ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong (27.9%) and current Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (26.5%). A recent Marquette Law School poll (March 11-18) underscores the tight contest, with 65% of Democratic primary voters undecided and Hong edging decided support at 14% to Barnes' 11%, reflecting low overall candidate familiarity. Consolidation hinges on endorsements from unions or Evers allies, upcoming forums, fundraising reports, and dropouts splitting the progressive and establishment lanes.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, trader consensus slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 35.5% implied probability, buoyed by his highest name recognition—over 50% from prior statewide runs including the close 2022 U.S. Senate race—ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong (27.9%) and current Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (26.5%). A recent Marquette Law School poll (March 11-18) underscores the tight contest, with 65% of Democratic primary voters undecided and Hong edging decided support at 14% to Barnes' 11%, reflecting low overall candidate familiarity. Consolidation hinges on endorsements from unions or Evers allies, upcoming forums, fundraising reports, and dropouts splitting the progressive and establishment lanes.

In the crowded Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, trader consensus slightly favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 35.5% implied probability, buoyed by his highest name recognition—over 50% from prior statewide runs including the close 2022 U.S. Senate race—ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong (27.9%) and current Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (26.5%). A recent Marquette Law School poll (March 11-18) underscores the tight contest, with 65% of Democratic primary voters undecided and Hong edging decided support at 14% to Barnes' 11%, reflecting low overall candidate familiarity. Consolidation hinges on endorsements from unions or Evers allies, upcoming forums, fundraising reports, and dropouts splitting the progressive and establishment lanes.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "曼德拉·巴恩斯" at 36%, followed by "弗朗西絲卡·洪" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $23.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "曼德拉·巴恩斯" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "弗朗西絲卡·洪" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "威斯康辛州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.