One month after U.S. and Israeli airstrikes launched the ongoing conflict with Iran on February 28—without congressional approval or formal war declaration—President Trump faces pressure to escalate or negotiate an exit, as trader consensus reflects in current odds. Recent developments include Trump's extension of a deadline to April 6 for potential strikes on Iranian power grid and energy infrastructure, amid stalled talks over reopening the Strait of Hormuz; Iran rejected a U.S. 15-point peace plan while retaliating with missile barrages that injured American troops this week. Congressional war powers debates intensify, with Democrats and some Republicans pushing for authorization votes, underscoring constitutional limits on executive military action versus declaration of war.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$545,121 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
2%
4月30日
6%
$545,121 交易量
3月31日
$211,212 交易量
2%
4月30日
$6,888 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.One month after U.S. and Israeli airstrikes launched the ongoing conflict with Iran on February 28—without congressional approval or formal war declaration—President Trump faces pressure to escalate or negotiate an exit, as trader consensus reflects in current odds. Recent developments include Trump's extension of a deadline to April 6 for potential strikes on Iranian power grid and energy infrastructure, amid stalled talks over reopening the Strait of Hormuz; Iran rejected a U.S. 15-point peace plan while retaliating with missile barrages that injured American troops this week. Congressional war powers debates intensify, with Democrats and some Republicans pushing for authorization votes, underscoring constitutional limits on executive military action versus declaration of war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$545,121結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.One month after U.S. and Israeli airstrikes launched the ongoing conflict with Iran on February 28—without congressional approval or formal war declaration—President Trump faces pressure to escalate or negotiate an exit, as trader consensus reflects in current odds. Recent developments include Trump's extension of a deadline to April 6 for potential strikes on Iranian power grid and energy infrastructure, amid stalled talks over reopening the Strait of Hormuz; Iran rejected a U.S. 15-point peace plan while retaliating with missile barrages that injured American troops this week. Congressional war powers debates intensify, with Democrats and some Republicans pushing for authorization votes, underscoring constitutional limits on executive military action versus declaration of war.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$545,121結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...One month after U.S. and Israeli airstrikes launched the ongoing conflict with Iran on February 28—without congressional approval or formal war declaration—President Trump faces pressure to escalate or negotiate an exit, as trader consensus reflects in current odds. Recent developments include Trump's extension of a deadline to April 6 for potential strikes on Iranian power grid and energy infrastructure, amid stalled talks over reopening the Strait of Hormuz; Iran rejected a U.S. 15-point peace plan while retaliating with missile barrages that injured American troops this week. Congressional war powers debates intensify, with Democrats and some Republicans pushing for authorization votes, underscoring constitutional limits on executive military action versus declaration of war.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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