美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？

Name: 美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？
Start: 2026-03-01T20:13:29.670Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？ — 討論

0x9c9f2C8538f38f07647f9A4653abc73e2695e0d4-1772647737972 · 2026-03-01T20:13:29.670Z

關於美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

政治·中東

美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？

是

13% 機率

$32,087 交易量

2026-12-31

是

13% 機率

$32,087 交易量

2026-12-31

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "美國會在2026年重新開放其駐伊朗大使館嗎？" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？" has generated $32.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？" is "美國會在2026年重新開放其駐伊朗大使館嗎？" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $32.1K traded on “美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 13¢ for "美國會在2026年重新開放其駐伊朗大使館嗎？" in the "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 13% chance that "美國會在2026年重新開放其駐伊朗大使館嗎？" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 13¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 87¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？

美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？

訂單簿

訂單簿

Frequently Asked Questions

美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？

美國會在2026年重新開放駐伊朗大使館嗎？

訂單簿

訂單簿

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (2)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

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