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政治·伊朗

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

Market icon
政治·伊朗

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

NEW
Mar 21, 2026
Polymarket

$983 交易量

Polymarket

March 29

$56 交易量

61%

March 30

$0 交易量

47%

March 31

$0 交易量

47%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death amid the ongoing Israel-Iran war, launched an official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) around March 12, rapidly gaining nearly 180,000 followers with initial posts. However, the account—using an AI-generated profile picture—faced U.S. sanctions-related scrutiny, including a revoked blue checkmark and emergence of fake impersonators. Recent silence, with no verified posts in over a week and no public appearances since a written Nowruz message on March 20, fuels speculation on his health, leadership consolidation, and communication strategy. Traders monitor for diplomatic signals, IRGC statements, or escalation in regional airstrikes that could prompt renewed X activity before any resolution deadline.

Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death amid the ongoing Israel-Iran war, launched an official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) around March 12, rapidly gaining nearly 180,000 followers with initial posts. However, the account—using an AI-generated profile picture—faced U.S. sanctions-related scrutiny, including a revoked blue checkmark and emergence of fake impersonators. Recent silence, with no verified posts in over a week and no public appearances since a written Nowruz message on March 20, fuels speculation on his health, leadership consolidation, and communication strategy. Traders monitor for diplomatic signals, IRGC statements, or escalation in regional airstrikes that could prompt renewed X activity before any resolution deadline.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death amid the ongoing Israel-Iran war, launched an official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) around March 12, rapidly gaining nearly 180,000 followers with initial posts. However, the account—using an AI-generated profile picture—faced U.S. sanctions-related scrutiny, including a revoked blue checkmark and emergence of fake impersonators. Recent silence, with no verified posts in over a week and no public appearances since a written Nowruz message on March 20, fuels speculation on his health, leadership consolidation, and communication strategy. Traders monitor for diplomatic signals, IRGC statements, or escalation in regional airstrikes that could prompt renewed X activity before any resolution deadline.

Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death amid the ongoing Israel-Iran war, launched an official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) around March 12, rapidly gaining nearly 180,000 followers with initial posts. However, the account—using an AI-generated profile picture—faced U.S. sanctions-related scrutiny, including a revoked blue checkmark and emergence of fake impersonators. Recent silence, with no verified posts in over a week and no public appearances since a written Nowruz message on March 20, fuels speculation on his health, leadership consolidation, and communication strategy. Traders monitor for diplomatic signals, IRGC statements, or escalation in regional airstrikes that could prompt renewed X activity before any resolution deadline.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "March 18, 2026" at 100%, followed by "March 19, 2026" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is "March 18, 2026" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 19, 2026" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.