**Israel’s coalition partners continue pressing for expanded control over West Bank land through settlement approvals, outpost legalization, and a February 2026 land-registration process that transfers administrative authority over large portions of Area C.** These steps, alongside incremental westward expansion of buffer zones in Gaza and planning authority changes in Hebron, represent accelerated de facto integration. However, formal annexation—an explicit government declaration or law asserting sovereignty over new territory—remains constrained by U.S. diplomatic pressure, regional dynamics, and Netanyahu’s reluctance to advance Knesset bills that previously stalled. Traders price low probabilities for an official act by late 2026 because such a move would require legislative action amid upcoming elections and international opposition, even as ground-level settlement growth and state-land declarations continue. Scheduled planning council meetings and coalition negotiations could still influence timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$534,118 交易量
2026年12月31日
7%
$534,118 交易量
2026年12月31日
7%
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 10, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Israel’s coalition partners continue pressing for expanded control over West Bank land through settlement approvals, outpost legalization, and a February 2026 land-registration process that transfers administrative authority over large portions of Area C.** These steps, alongside incremental westward expansion of buffer zones in Gaza and planning authority changes in Hebron, represent accelerated de facto integration. However, formal annexation—an explicit government declaration or law asserting sovereignty over new territory—remains constrained by U.S. diplomatic pressure, regional dynamics, and Netanyahu’s reluctance to advance Knesset bills that previously stalled. Traders price low probabilities for an official act by late 2026 because such a move would require legislative action amid upcoming elections and international opposition, even as ground-level settlement growth and state-land declarations continue. Scheduled planning council meetings and coalition negotiations could still influence timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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