政治·全球選舉

誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？

政治·全球選舉

誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？

格雷戈里·杜塞 100.0%

亞歷山大·杜帕萊 <1%

納塔莉·佩蘭-吉爾伯特 <1%

讓-米歇爾·奧拉斯 <1%

$2,720,337 交易量

$2,720,337 交易量

Mar 22, 2026

格雷戈里·杜塞

$463,581 交易量

是

亞歷山大·杜帕萊

$70,798 交易量

否

納塔莉·佩蘭-吉爾伯特

$1,768,212 交易量

否

讓-米歇爾·奧拉斯

$417,747 交易量

否

Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi

$0 交易量

否

喬治·凱佩內基安

$0 交易量

否

格雷戈里·杜塞 100.0%

亞歷山大·杜帕萊 <1%

納塔莉·佩蘭-吉爾伯特 <1%

讓-米歇爾·奧拉斯 <1%

$2,720,337 交易量

$2,720,337 交易量

Mar 22, 2026

格雷戈里·杜塞

$463,581 交易量

是

亞歷山大·杜帕萊

$70,798 交易量

否

納塔莉·佩蘭-吉爾伯特

$1,768,212 交易量

否

讓-米歇爾·奧拉斯

$417,747 交易量

否

Anaïs Belouassa-Cherifi

$0 交易量

否

喬治·凱佩內基安

$0 交易量

否

Incumbent mayor Grégory Doucet commands near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% to win the Lyon mayoral election, reflecting his entrenched position from the 2020 victory and sustained popularity amid fragmented opposition. Recent developments include Jean-Michel Aulas's September announcement as a right-wing challenger and Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert's dissident left bid, but these have failed to erode Doucet's lead in early polling averages, with Alexandre Dupalais trailing far behind. The 2026 municipal vote follows France's two-round system requiring absolute majority, favoring the ecologist-led coalition's incumbency advantage and organizational strength. Barring major scandals, health issues, or a unified opposition coalition, no realistic scenarios threaten this outcome before the March election.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 27, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC

Incumbent mayor Grégory Doucet commands near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% to win the Lyon mayoral election, reflecting his entrenched position from the 2020 victory and sustained popularity amid fragmented opposition. Recent developments include Jean-Michel Aulas's September announcement as a right-wing challenger and Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert's dissident left bid, but these have failed to erode Doucet's lead in early polling averages, with Alexandre Dupalais trailing far behind. The 2026 municipal vote follows France's two-round system requiring absolute majority, favoring the ecologist-led coalition's incumbency advantage and organizational strength. Barring major scandals, health issues, or a unified opposition coalition, no realistic scenarios threaten this outcome before the March election.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 27, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "格雷戈里·杜塞" at 100%, followed by "亞歷山大·杜帕萊" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？" has generated $2.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？" is "格雷戈里·杜塞" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞歷山大·杜帕萊" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $2.7 million traded on “誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "格雷戈里·杜塞" in the "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "格雷戈里·杜塞" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？" market has an active community of 48 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "誰將贏得裏昂市長選舉？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.