特朗普會支持誰？

Name: 特朗普會支持誰？
Start: 2025-09-12T20:38:43.679Z
End: 2026-11-04T00:00:00.000Z

政治·特朗普

特朗普會支持誰？

$130,366 交易量

Nov 4, 2026

蘇珊·柯林斯 - 緬因州參議員

$371 交易量

77%

約翰·科寧 - 德州參議員

$58,828 交易量

60%

Ken Paxton - 德州聯邦參議員

$40,692 交易量

43%

安迪·巴爾 - 肯塔基州參議員

$20,556 交易量

40%

史蒂夫·希爾頓 - 加州州長

$0 交易量

63%

$130,366 交易量

蘇珊·柯林斯 - 緬因州參議員

$371 交易量

77%

約翰·科寧 - 德州參議員

$58,828 交易量

60%

Ken Paxton - 德州聯邦參議員

$40,692 交易量

43%

安迪·巴爾 - 肯塔基州參議員

$20,556 交易量

40%

史蒂夫·希爾頓 - 加州州長

$0 交易量

63%

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

President-elect Trump's pending endorsement in the Republican Senate leadership contest remains the key uncertainty driving trader sentiment, with no official pick announced ahead of the GOP conference vote on November 13. Internal Senate polling shows Majority Leader John Thune holding a plurality of support, trailed by Rick Scott—a Trump loyalist—and John Cornyn, as candidates court the incoming president's favor through meetings and public overtures. Recent Trump praise for Scott has boosted his implied probabilities, reflecting traders' view of the wisdom of crowds on Trump's preference for aligned figures. Shifts could arise from Trump's Truth Social posts or further senator commitments before the ballot.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 25, 2026, 10:45 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會支持誰？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "林賽·格雷厄姆 - 南卡羅來納州參議員" at 100%, followed by "蘇珊·柯林斯 - 緬因州參議員" at 77%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普會支持誰？" has generated $130.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普會支持誰？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普會支持誰？" is "林賽·格雷厄姆 - 南卡羅來納州參議員" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘇珊·柯林斯 - 緬因州參議員" at 77%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會支持誰？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "特朗普會支持誰？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $130.4K traded on “特朗普會支持誰？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "特朗普會支持誰？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "林賽·格雷厄姆 - 南卡羅來納州參議員" in the "特朗普會支持誰？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "林賽·格雷厄姆 - 南卡羅來納州參議員" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "特朗普會支持誰？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 4, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "特朗普會支持誰？" market has a growing discussion of 5 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "特朗普會支持誰？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

特朗普會支持誰？

特朗普會支持誰？

規則

盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (5)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 100¢ for "林賽·格雷厄姆 - 南卡羅來納州參議員" mean?

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