In the ongoing US-Israel war against Iran that erupted on February 28 with strikes killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations including Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia alongside the UK have focused on defensive measures, intercepting Iranian missiles and drones targeting their bases and infrastructure. No verified offensive military actions by these countries against Iran have occurred in the past 30 days, despite Iranian retaliation escalating with recent strikes on UAE and Bahrain aluminum plants, Kuwait's desalination facilities, and Saudi airbases wounding US troops. President Trump's extension of a strike deadline on Iranian energy sites to April 6 signals de-escalation, anchoring trader consensus against further actors joining offensively by March 31 amid a compressed timeline and emphasis on self-defense.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$10,860,972 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
沙烏地阿拉伯
3%
卡達
3%
阿聯酋
3%
巴林
2%
約旦
1%
英國
1%
科威特
1%
土耳其
1%
任何歐盟國家
1%
法國
1%
阿曼
<1%
德國
<1%
加拿大
<1%
$10,860,972 交易量
沙烏地阿拉伯
$2,215,773 交易量
3%
卡達
$950,260 交易量
3%
阿聯酋
$2,858,966 交易量
3%
巴林
$393,521 交易量
2%
約旦
$189,690 交易量
1%
英國
$948,392 交易量
1%
科威特
$211,998 交易量
1%
土耳其
$481,805 交易量
1%
任何歐盟國家
$474,098 交易量
1%
法國
$750,377 交易量
1%
阿曼
$132,169 交易量
<1%
德國
$912,757 交易量
<1%
加拿大
$341,166 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.In the ongoing US-Israel war against Iran that erupted on February 28 with strikes killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations including Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia alongside the UK have focused on defensive measures, intercepting Iranian missiles and drones targeting their bases and infrastructure. No verified offensive military actions by these countries against Iran have occurred in the past 30 days, despite Iranian retaliation escalating with recent strikes on UAE and Bahrain aluminum plants, Kuwait's desalination facilities, and Saudi airbases wounding US troops. President Trump's extension of a strike deadline on Iranian energy sites to April 6 signals de-escalation, anchoring trader consensus against further actors joining offensively by March 31 amid a compressed timeline and emphasis on self-defense.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$10,860,972結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.In the ongoing US-Israel war against Iran that erupted on February 28 with strikes killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations including Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia alongside the UK have focused on defensive measures, intercepting Iranian missiles and drones targeting their bases and infrastructure. No verified offensive military actions by these countries against Iran have occurred in the past 30 days, despite Iranian retaliation escalating with recent strikes on UAE and Bahrain aluminum plants, Kuwait's desalination facilities, and Saudi airbases wounding US troops. President Trump's extension of a strike deadline on Iranian energy sites to April 6 signals de-escalation, anchoring trader consensus against further actors joining offensively by March 31 amid a compressed timeline and emphasis on self-defense.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,860,972結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In the ongoing US-Israel war against Iran that erupted on February 28 with strikes killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations including Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia alongside the UK have focused on defensive measures, intercepting Iranian missiles and drones targeting their bases and infrastructure. No verified offensive military actions by these countries against Iran have occurred in the past 30 days, despite Iranian retaliation escalating with recent strikes on UAE and Bahrain aluminum plants, Kuwait's desalination facilities, and Saudi airbases wounding US troops. President Trump's extension of a strike deadline on Iranian energy sites to April 6 signals de-escalation, anchoring trader consensus against further actors joining offensively by March 31 amid a compressed timeline and emphasis on self-defense.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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