哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？

Name: 哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？
Start: 2025-11-20T19:15:28.634Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？ — 討論

Wagner275738 · 2025-11-20T19:15:28.634Z

關於哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

地緣政治·以色列

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？

$130,232 交易量

2026-06-30

北韓

$11,451 交易量

古巴

$688 交易量

沙烏地阿拉伯

$4,381 交易量

13%

黎巴嫩

$17,620 交易量

阿富汗

$81 交易量

伊拉克

$362 交易量

巴基斯坦

$226 交易量

敘利亞

$4,387 交易量

委內瑞拉

$80,172 交易量

突尼斯

$490 交易量

12%

科威特

$1,040 交易量

卡達

$955 交易量

印尼

$6,928 交易量

馬來西亞

$458 交易量

孟加拉國

$994 交易量

$130,232 交易量

北韓

$11,451 交易量

古巴

$688 交易量

沙烏地阿拉伯

$4,381 交易量

13%

黎巴嫩

$17,620 交易量

阿富汗

$81 交易量

伊拉克

$362 交易量

巴基斯坦

$226 交易量

敘利亞

$4,387 交易量

委內瑞拉

$80,172 交易量

突尼斯

$490 交易量

12%

科威特

$1,040 交易量

卡達

$955 交易量

印尼

$6,928 交易量

馬來西亞

$458 交易量

孟加拉國

$994 交易量

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "沙烏地阿拉伯" at 13%, followed by "突尼斯" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" has generated $130.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" is "沙烏地阿拉伯" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "突尼斯" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $130.2K traded on “哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 13¢ for "沙烏地阿拉伯" in the "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 13% chance that "沙烏地阿拉伯" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 13¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 87¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" market has an active community of 11 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？

哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？

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評論 (11)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？"?

What are the current odds for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？"?

How will "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" be resolved?

Can I follow "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？"?

What does a price of 13¢ for "沙烏地阿拉伯" mean?

When does the "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？" market close?

What are traders saying about "哪些國家會在6月30日前承認以色列？"?

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