Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), reflecting the absence of any announced in-person summit amid ongoing Ukraine peace negotiations and escalating Russia-Iran ties, where Zelenskyy recently accused Moscow of sharing satellite imagery of U.S. bases in the Gulf and Middle East to aid Iranian strikes. Recent diplomacy has relied on envoys—Trump dispatched Steve Witkoff to Moscow on March 26 for Ukraine talks, while Putin's envoy Kirill Dmitriev met Trump administration officials in Florida earlier this month—bypassing direct leader summits. Gulf countries draw slight interest (5.5%) as potential neutral venues given regional tensions, but no official venue signals exist, with prior 2025 Alaska and aborted Budapest plans underscoring logistical and geopolitical hurdles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6月30日之前沒有會面 83.3%
海灣國家 5.5%
其他歐盟國家 2.5%
俄羅斯 2.1%
$4,162,534 交易量
$4,162,534 交易量

6月30日之前沒有會面
83%

海灣國家
5%

其他歐盟國家
2%

俄羅斯
2%

中國
2%

其他
1%

美國
1%

土耳其
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

瑞士
<1%

日本
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

烏克蘭
<1%

南韓
<1%

澳洲
<1%
6月30日之前沒有會面 83.3%
海灣國家 5.5%
其他歐盟國家 2.5%
俄羅斯 2.1%
$4,162,534 交易量
$4,162,534 交易量

6月30日之前沒有會面
83%

海灣國家
5%

其他歐盟國家
2%

俄羅斯
2%

中國
2%

其他
1%

美國
1%

土耳其
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

瑞士
<1%

日本
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

烏克蘭
<1%

南韓
<1%

澳洲
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 (83%), reflecting the absence of any announced in-person summit amid ongoing Ukraine peace negotiations and escalating Russia-Iran ties, where Zelenskyy recently accused Moscow of sharing satellite imagery of U.S. bases in the Gulf and Middle East to aid Iranian strikes. Recent diplomacy has relied on envoys—Trump dispatched Steve Witkoff to Moscow on March 26 for Ukraine talks, while Putin's envoy Kirill Dmitriev met Trump administration officials in Florida earlier this month—bypassing direct leader summits. Gulf countries draw slight interest (5.5%) as potential neutral venues given regional tensions, but no official venue signals exist, with prior 2025 Alaska and aborted Budapest plans underscoring logistical and geopolitical hurdles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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